ALMA HEL Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Alma Media Oyj · Communication Services · Publishing

Latest close 13.50 EUR
-0.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 49.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.4%, after a -2.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 41 out of 100
Latest Close 13.50 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -0.4% latest completed week
4W Return -2.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 5.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 40.4% 21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 49.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.4%, after a -2.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4412-week average 0.26

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.44Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -2.5% over four weeks, 5.5% over 12 weeks, and 4.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.4%
4W-2.5%
12W5.5%
26W4.3%
52W4.3%
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.56Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-21.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.42Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-37.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.

0 positive · 7 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-13.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.2%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-8.1%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-0.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryFI Publishing
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average-3.5%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202613.50 EUR-0.4%13.18 EUR11.07 EUR0.56-7.4222.6KOn
31 Jul 202613.55 EUR-0.4%13.20 EUR11.03 EUR0.64-7.1614.2KOn
24 Jul 202613.60 EUR1.5%13.21 EUR11.00 EUR0.61-6.8615.3KOff
17 Jul 202613.40 EUR-3.2%13.19 EUR10.96 EUR0.59-8.1421.4KOff
10 Jul 202613.85 EUR4.5%13.18 EUR10.93 EUR0.71-5.4225.8KOff
3 Jul 202613.25 EUR0.4%13.14 EUR10.89 EUR0.70-11.035.2KOff
26 Jun 202613.20 EUR-2.2%13.12 EUR10.86 EUR0.73-9.9018.7KOff
19 Jun 202613.50 EUR-1.5%13.09 EUR10.83 EUR0.85-9.6444.6KOn
12 Jun 202613.70 EUR-0.7%13.06 EUR10.79 EUR0.77-10.087.7KOff
5 Jun 202613.80 EUR0.7%13.07 EUR10.76 EUR0.49-11.552.7KOff
29 May 202613.70 EUR4.6%13.06 EUR10.72 EUR0.26-12.38256.5KOff
22 May 202613.10 EUR2.3%13.08 EUR10.68 EUR-0.16-16.7357.0KOff
15 May 202612.80 EUR-1.5%13.14 EUR10.65 EUR-0.51-16.1018.5KOff
8 May 202613.00 EUR4.0%13.22 EUR10.63 EUR-0.71-14.5968.1KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context