VIE Equity Snapshot

MELI Weekly Equity Report

MercadoLibre, Inc.

Latest Close 1,369 EUR 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -2.8% latest completed week
4W Return 2.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 26.9% 14 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
Sharemaestro Evidence Rating

Caution

A cross-signal market read combining weekly price structure, proprietary indicators, factors, Patient Capital, options, sentiment, insider activity, earnings risk, research flow, and sector context.

Evidence Score 36 Caution

Top-level conclusion

The strongest supporting evidence is patient capital: Market Dynamics buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

The main constraint is weekly tape: Trend, Market Dynamics, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.

The combined read is defensive, so risk control and evidence of stabilization matter more than headline upside.

Primary driver

Patient Capital Quiet

Market Dynamics buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Main constraint

Weekly tape 28/100

Trend, Market Dynamics, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.

Company Brief

What the company does

MercadoLibre, Inc. operates online commerce platforms in Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, and internationally. The company operates Mercado Libre Marketplace, an online commerce platform that can be accessed through mobile app or website; and Mercado Pago, a financial technology solution platform, which offers comprehensive set of financial technology services to users and other users of its e-commerce platform. It also provides Mercado Fondo that allows users to invest funds deposited in their Mercado Pago accounts; Mercado Credito, which grants loans and obtains better funding alternatives; and Mercado Mercado Envios that facilitates the shipping of goods from the …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

MELI closed the latest completed week at 1,369 EUR. The 4-week return is 2.0% and the 12-week return is -4.5%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.05. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 27/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -14.1%
Volume 1.0x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 15 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 51 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 56 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 0 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 40 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 0 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price zone

Close Trend Fair
1,280 EUR 9.2% 2,243 EUR
Range location 9.2% Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.
Trend distance -14.1% Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.
Fair-value gap -17.3% Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.
High-water gap -39.0% Distance from the latest 52-week high.
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -2.8%
4W 2.0%
12W -4.5%
26W -20.5%
52W -33.4%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
14
52W Active Breadth
26.9%
Sector Scope
AT Consumer Cyclical
Sector Rank
113 of 128
Sector Percentile
11.8%
113 of 128
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Pressure map

Market Dynamics
Relative Strength
Pressure -0.05 Latest Market Dynamics read.
Pressure change 91.0% Four-week change in Market Dynamics.
Leadership -37.41 Latest Relative Strength reading.
RS change 1.8% Four-week change in Relative Strength.
Expectation Positive 59.69% probability read.
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

Volume and return confirmation

Participation read

Participation 1.0x Latest volume versus the 13-week average.
Baseline 52 13-week average volume.
One-year base 59 52-week average volume.
Latest 50 Most recent completed week.
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Return shape

Strong gains 4
Modest gains 7
Flat weeks 0
Modest losses 10
Sharp losses 5
Recent vol 4.2% 13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol 5.0% 52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split 23/29 Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew 3.7% / -4.1% Average positive week versus average negative week.
Cross-App Evidence

Value, flow, sentiment, events, and research context

These cards convert the rest of Sharemaestro into a compact evidence trail, with direct drilldowns for deeper research.

Options and sentiment

Options
-
Expected Move
-
Sentiment
-
Articles
-

Earnings, insiders, and research flow

Earnings
-
Insiders
-
News
0 articles
Market Watch
0 posts

Latest Sharemaestro research

  • No recent research articles are stored for this ticker.

Latest Market Watch posts

  • No recent Market Watch posts are stored for this ticker.
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
VIE
Country
AT
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Internet Retail
Currency
EUR
Market Cap
73.6B

Opportunity signals

  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and Market Dynamics.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 1,369 EUR -2.8% 1,593 EUR 1,655 EUR -0.05 -37.41 50 Off
5 Jun 2026 1,408 EUR -3.1% 1,605 EUR 1,653 EUR -0.22 -34.66 45 Off
29 May 2026 1,454 EUR 1.6% 1,619 EUR 1,651 EUR -0.40 -34.20 34 Off
22 May 2026 1,431 EUR 6.6% 1,638 EUR 1,649 EUR -0.51 -34.40 25 Off
15 May 2026 1,341 EUR -5.2% 1,652 EUR 1,648 EUR -0.58 -38.10 94 Off
8 May 2026 1,415 EUR -7.1% 1,666 EUR 1,647 EUR -0.59 -35.97 135 Off
1 May 2026 1,523 EUR -2.2% 1,680 EUR 1,645 EUR -0.66 -30.95 40 Off
24 Apr 2026 1,556 EUR -1.2% 1,691 EUR 1,643 EUR -0.77 -29.72 18 Off
17 Apr 2026 1,576 EUR 4.2% 1,710 EUR 1,640 EUR -0.93 -31.98 33 Off
10 Apr 2026 1,512 EUR 1.5% 1,728 EUR 1,638 EUR -1.05 -33.79 67 Off
3 Apr 2026 1,490 EUR 7.0% 1,743 EUR 1,635 EUR -1.15 -31.18 41 Off
27 Mar 2026 1,392 EUR -2.9% 1,760 EUR 1,633 EUR -1.04 -34.00 47 Off
20 Mar 2026 1,434 EUR -1.2% 1,784 EUR 1,632 EUR -0.85 -31.65 49 Off
13 Mar 2026 1,451 EUR -4.7% 1,805 EUR 1,630 EUR -0.55 -32.28 82 Off