- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
MELI
VIE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
MercadoLibre, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Latest close
1,575 EUR
-3.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 34.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.0%, after a -3.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
38
out of 100
Latest Close
1,575 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-3.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
-3.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
17.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
11.5%
6 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-3.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move -3.1%.
Indicator stack
6/73
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 34.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.0%, after a -3.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1912-week average 0.07
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.19Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -3.1% over four weeks, 17.4% over 12 weeks, and -20.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year6
Trend breadth11.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.16Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change24.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-24.90Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-2.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
0 positive · 6 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-26.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.0%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-13.3%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week-3.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -4.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAT Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank73 / 100
Group average2.3%
Trend breadth45.0%
Trend45.0%active weekly trend signals
MD62.0%positive activity pressure
RS11.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAT Internet Retail
4-week rank9 / 10
Group average4.0%
Trend breadth60.0%
Trend60.0%active weekly trend signals
MD80.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape33/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis24/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.19; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) Stock Forecasts Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1,575 EUR | -3.0% | 1,542 EUR | 1,677 EUR | 1.16 | -24.90 | 144 | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1,624 EUR | 0.7% | 1,552 EUR | 1,675 EUR | 1.30 | -21.09 | 66 | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1,613 EUR | 1.8% | 1,554 EUR | 1,672 EUR | 1.24 | -22.61 | 176 | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1,584 EUR | -2.5% | 1,557 EUR | 1,669 EUR | 1.17 | -23.76 | 49 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1,625 EUR | 5.5% | 1,561 EUR | 1,666 EUR | 0.93 | -24.19 | 427 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1,540 EUR | 4.7% | 1,564 EUR | 1,662 EUR | 0.46 | -29.88 | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1,470 EUR | 3.4% | 1,574 EUR | 1,659 EUR | 0.27 | -32.37 | 100 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1,421 EUR | 3.8% | 1,585 EUR | 1,657 EUR | -0.01 | -36.76 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1,369 EUR | -2.8% | 1,593 EUR | 1,655 EUR | -0.14 | -37.41 | 16 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1,408 EUR | -3.1% | 1,605 EUR | 1,653 EUR | -0.26 | -34.66 | 0 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 1,454 EUR | 1.6% | 1,619 EUR | 1,651 EUR | -0.40 | -34.20 | 34 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1,431 EUR | 6.6% | 1,638 EUR | 1,649 EUR | -0.51 | -34.40 | 25 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1,341 EUR | -5.2% | 1,652 EUR | 1,648 EUR | -0.58 | -38.10 | 94 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 1,415 EUR | -7.1% | 1,666 EUR | 1,647 EUR | -0.59 | -35.97 | 135 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.