- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
AHLA
VIE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Alibaba Group Holding Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Latest close
110.8 EUR
4.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 37.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.7%, after a 12.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 74/100.
Setup score
36
out of 100
Latest Close
110.8 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
12.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-2.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
42.3%
22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 12.3%.
Indicator stack
23/69
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
74/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 37.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.7%, after a 12.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1612-week average 0.07
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.16Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 12.3% over four weeks, -2.3% over 12 weeks, and 8.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.36Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change149.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-26.72Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change22.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment74/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 2 relevant articles.
2 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-31.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher9 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.9%Week of 10 Jul.
Worst week-10.3%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+4.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains4
Flat weeks1
Modest losses8
Sharp losses8
Recent vol6.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.9% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAT Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank16 / 100
Group average2.3%
Trend breadth45.0%
Trend45.0%active weekly trend signals
MD62.0%positive activity pressure
RS11.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAT Internet Retail
4-week rank2 / 10
Group average4.0%
Trend breadth60.0%
Trend60.0%active weekly trend signals
MD80.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape31/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 31/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis15/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.16; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment74/100Weighted news tone is positive across 2 relevant articles.
Alibaba shares surge 10% 🔼 Is capital coming back to China? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 110.8 EUR | 4.7% | 112.9 EUR | 95.32 EUR | 0.36 | -26.72 | 1.8K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 105.8 EUR | 6.4% | 113.5 EUR | 95.13 EUR | 0.18 | -28.22 | 2.4K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 99.40 EUR | -1.2% | 114.4 EUR | 94.99 EUR | -0.26 | -32.89 | 3.6K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 100.6 EUR | 1.9% | 115.3 EUR | 94.90 EUR | -0.41 | -31.51 | 3.0K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 98.70 EUR | 16.9% | 116.2 EUR | 94.76 EUR | -0.74 | -34.45 | 7.1K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 84.40 EUR | 0.8% | 117.3 EUR | 94.64 EUR | -0.97 | -44.87 | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 83.70 EUR | -10.3% | 119.0 EUR | 94.60 EUR | -0.78 | -44.33 | 848 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 93.30 EUR | -3.6% | 120.8 EUR | 94.53 EUR | -0.80 | -39.55 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 96.80 EUR | -7.9% | 122.0 EUR | 94.40 EUR | -0.57 | -35.03 | 94 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 105.1 EUR | -0.6% | 123.3 EUR | 94.29 EUR | -0.47 | -27.84 | 0 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 105.7 EUR | -4.8% | 124.4 EUR | 94.10 EUR | -0.58 | -28.52 | 160 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 111.1 EUR | -2.1% | 125.8 EUR | 93.90 EUR | -0.71 | -23.13 | 532 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 113.4 EUR | -4.3% | 127.2 EUR | 93.65 EUR | -0.94 | -20.17 | 563 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 118.6 EUR | 6.2% | 128.1 EUR | 93.40 EUR | -1.01 | -17.24 | 49 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.