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Weekly closes ยท USD
Market context
Stage
2 ยท Stage 2B ยท Advancing, as of 18 Sep 2026
Sentiment
โ
RS
-2.54
Dynamics
-0.11
Fair value gap
+20.2%
Week range
139.28โ141.60
Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
NYSEARCA ยท ETF ยท United States
JPUS
JP MORGAN ETF TRUST DIVERSIFIED RETURN US EQUITY USD
Last updated
18 Sep 2026
Exchange
NYSE ARCA ยท NYSEARCA
Sector
Not classified
Industry
Not classified
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
Not available
Fair value reference
116.11
Next-week expectancy
Positive ยท 59.65%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-18, JPUS fell 0.91%, moving from 140.89 to 139.61. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -2.54 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.11 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 59.65% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
18 Sep 2026
Latest Close
139.61
12-Week Change
-0.91%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 59.65%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
Reversal Map Indicator
Select a chart tab to switch views.
Weekly Trend
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Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity LinesDirection Line
Analysis panels
Choose up to 6 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Sponsorship Indicator
What it is
Price Sponsorship Indicator PSI
PSI compares the weekly price move with the market activity behind it. It shows whether price has broad support or whether that support is weakening.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-18
Price is ahead of support
Price has risen faster than the supporting PSI reading. The next completed weeks will show whether support strengthens or fades.
PSI score
49/100
1 completed week
Recent support
+17
Limited
Readings pointing the same way
50%
Activity is weighing on price
What it shows
Price and the support behind it
The navy line is price. Green and red bars show support. The coloured trend lines show positive, negative or possible change.
01Support buildsGreen bars rise above zero.
02Price confirmsPrice rises with positive bars.
03Support holdsPositive bars remain with price.
04WarningBars weaken before or with price.
PricePositive trendNegative trendPossible changeStrong supportPositive supportWeak support
Second check
Does Market Dynamics agree?
PSI shows support for the price move. Market Dynamics provides a separate check on whether conditions beneath price point the same way.
What it shows
The two readings are mixed
Neither reading gives a clear direction.
Current reading
-0.11
Four-week change
-1.45
Sharemaestro ยท JPUS ยท Weekly price reversals
RMI Reversal Map Indicator
See where price breaks a previous high or low, turns back, and confirms a change in direction.
โ Broke a prior high / lowโ Closed back across the levelโฒ / โผ Reversal confirmedโ โ Confirmation levelโ Average price since the sweep (VWAP)
Observed follow-through
What happened after confirmation?
Direction-adjusted price moves from the next weekly open. Only outcomes completed by the replay date are included. Before costs; no exit rules applied. Overlapping observations are not independent trades or a forecast.
Dated observations
Setup journal
Reading the chart
The chart opens on the latest 152 weeks. Choose 52 or 104 weeks for a closer view. Only confirmed reversals are shown. Clear confirmations is the stricter starting view; All confirmations also includes reversals that did not meet every strength check. Green marks a confirmed turn up; red marks a confirmed turn down. Dashed outlines mark historical setups. A zone marks where the reversal developed; its end does not mean the whole price move ended. Select a journal entry to review a past setup, or use the replay slider to see what was known at an earlier close.
Annotations adds dates and explanations for every visible zone. A separate Follow-up complete marker shows when eight weeks of tracking finished. The price move may continue beyond it. The numbered notes below the chart also let you select a zone to inspect it. Confirmed reversals can fail; failed setups stay in the history. Follow-through figures describe past price moves before costs; they are not a forecast or trading record.
Results use completed weekly prices. Missing or revised source data can affect the saved history.
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-18
Price is holding around the adaptive centre
The envelope places current price in context without treating a single band touch as a signal. Direction, persistence and the evidence checks below determine the quality of the read.
Use the envelope for price location and Market Dynamics to see whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Supportive Market DynamicsCautious Market DynamicsNeutral line
APE and support read
Market Dynamics is providing mixed context
Price or underlying support is near its middle ground. The next useful evidence is a clearer move that both APE and Market Dynamics confirm.
Current reading
-0.11
Four-week change
-1.45
Current path
Weakening
Confirmation checks
What supports or challenges the current read
A band touch is context, not a conclusion. These independent checks show whether the completed-week move has broader support.
Envelope pathMixed47% of the envelope
Price location and the direction of the adaptive centre are read together.
Trend LineSupportiveAbove and rising
Checks whether completed-week price and the primary trend are moving in the same direction.
Market DynamicsCautious-0.11 ยท -1.45 over 4 weeks
Tests whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Relative strengthCautious-2.5 ยท -3.4 over 4 weeks
Shows whether the listing is strengthening or weakening against its stored comparison benchmark.
ParticipationMixed0.91ร recent volume
Checks whether the current move is attracting more participation than recent completed weeks.
Completed-week analysis
How to interpret this envelope now
Price position
Near the adaptive centre
The latest close sits at 47% of the current lower-to-upper envelope span and has held this state for 1 completed week.
Envelope width
Envelope width is typical
Current width ranks at the 43th percentile of the recent completed-week history. Compression can precede expansion but does not determine direction.
Evidence agreement
Weak confirmation
20% of the available trend, support, relative-strength and participation checks agree with or do not contradict the current envelope pressure.
What to watch next
Persistence, repair or rejection
Watch completed closes around the adaptive centre (135.36), upper boundary (147.46) and lower boundary (132.73).
Recent completed events
What changed around the envelope
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Upper-envelope break
Price closed above the adaptive upper boundary.
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Upper-envelope break
Price closed above the adaptive upper boundary.
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Upper-envelope break
Price closed above the adaptive upper boundary.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationRange-bound structure with weak close
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence. Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Full context ยท Mixed confirmation
Current structureRange-bound structure
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
Trend relationshipAbove a rising trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Support and resistanceSupport 115.75 ยท Resistance 140.91
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
Participation qualityNormal participation
Participation was broadly consistent with the market's completed recent history.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-1.38%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterWeak close
Price declined and finished in the lower part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedNear the weekly low
The close finished at 14% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityMixed confirmation
Recent price structure and the longer trend relationship are not fully aligned.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above a rising trend; participation is normal participation, and path quality is mixed confirmation.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history94% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-4.1%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+205.4%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical1.2ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
Latest week
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
6 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
19 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateBelow the trend range
52-week position
75.5%
Low to high
Accepted price
135.19
Latest versus accepted: 3.27%
Fitted direction
Rising
0.36% per week
Range pressure
42/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Normal
0.95ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support122.89
From price
-12.0%
Evidence
80/100
Touches
5
Support135.19
From price
-3.2%
Evidence
87/100
Touches
3
Support137.13
From price
-1.8%
Evidence
64/100
Touches
3
Resistance140.97
From price
1.0%
Evidence
40/100
Touches
1
Resistance146.35
From price
4.8%
Evidence
38/100
Touches
1
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionBelow the trend range
Price is at 75.5% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionRising
The fitted centre line is moving +0.36% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 42/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level140.97
Resistance is 1.0% from the latest close with 40/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money evidence is mixed
Some visible evidence is supportive, but the combined picture does not yet justify a strong conclusion.
Momentum 0.74 ยท Holding steady
Trend qualityStrong alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 64 completed weeks; visible confirmation is strong alignment.
Momentum pathConstructive ยท Holding steady
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
22 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
23 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
28 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
32 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship ยท 12 completed weeks
Price is running ahead of Market Dynamics
Price is -0.9% across this view and is in the upper part of its stored price range, while Market Dynamics is -0.11 after a -1.45 change over the latest 4 completed weeks. The price move has less underlying support than its location suggests.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-07-03Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
At distribution for 25 completed weeks
The distribution reading is confirmed. A downward exit starts the reverse journey toward accumulation.
Current journey
No active journey
Activated
Not active
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. JPUS is currently in the distribution area, but a new transition does not begin until price leaves a confirmed zone. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Accumulation 92.98Distribution 137.36
A dark-zone close or two consecutive light-zone closes confirms residence. A completed close moving out of confirmed accumulation starts a journey toward distribution; an exit from confirmed distribution starts the reverse journey. Time in each zone is retained before the next transition begins.
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyAccumulation to Distribution ยท Confirmed distribution
2023-12-01โ2026-06-19 ยท 134 completed weeks ยท price move +46.8%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 1 reached distribution and 0 reached accumulation.
0% ยท confirmed source exit100% ยท confirmed opposite zone
Accumulation to DistributionConfirmed distribution
2023-12-01โ2026-06-19 ยท journey 134w ยท source dwell 9w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
+46.8%
Time to confirm
134w
Reached and confirmed distribution after 134 completed weeks. Price moved +46.8% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readPositive pressure remains established, but is cooling
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position. Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
+20.23% ยท Positive ยท Cooling
Market positionPositive
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position.
Pressure directionCooling
Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
Trend qualityPersistent
Directional progress remains visible despite some interruption.
Risks and warningsNormal
No elevated completed-week pressure warning is active.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
Price remains in positive market-perception territory.
What would improve it
Renewed upward pressure without further loss of path quality would restore confidence.
What could weaken it
A turn lower in the pressure path or a loss of balance would weaken the current interpretation.
What to watch next
The latest path is cooling with persistent trend quality. Comparable history is constructive follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionUpper 28% of history
The latest reading is stronger than 72% of completed observations.
State persistence149 completed weeks
The current positive state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyConstructive follow-through
Across 130 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 68% of the time; the typical move was +2.2%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
2 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
10 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
17 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
19 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
24 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
28 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlBuyer control developing
Price is above the core VWAP, which is rising. 100% of recent weighted activity has been accepted above it.
65/100 pressure
ControlBuyer control developing
Pressure 65/100 and -16.8 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack4 of 6 below price
2 references converge near 137.97: High-activity anchor, 26-week VWAP.
Acceptance100% above
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Core direction+0.2% / week
Four-week direction; change in pace -0.2 pts.
Stretch0.8 normal ranges above
Price is +1.5% from the core VWAP.
Persistence71 completed weeks
Price has remained above the core VWAP.
Price, VWAP structure and control transfers
Where control changed
156 completed weeks ยท Reported weekly volume
Weekly close13-week VWAP26-week VWAP52-week VWAPHigh-activity anchorNormal VWAP rangePositive transferNegative transfer
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 ยท contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Buyer control developing
Buyer control developing
The current position, VWAP direction and completed acceptance evidence broadly agree.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
2 references converge near 137.97: High-activity anchor, 26-week VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation142.28
A completed close above 13-week VWAP with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area138.39
High-activity anchor at 138.39, 0.9% below the latest close.
Weakening level138.39
A completed close below High-activity anchor with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
High-activity anchor138.39
-0.87% from close
26-week VWAP137.55
-1.47% from close
13-week VWAP142.28
+1.92% from close
Swing high143.80
+3.01% from close
Year VWAP135.40
-3.01% from close
52-week VWAP132.73
-4.93% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 78%Above price 23%
11%near price
Most recent weighted activity is below price, leaving a larger estimated cushion beneath the market.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท SPYWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -16.6 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 81/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim60% favourable
Events
5
Median 4w
-1.12%
Median 13w
+0.38%
Typical best
+0.86%
Typical worst
-9.54%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss60% favourable
Events
5
Median 4w
-0.92%
Median 13w
-0.14%
Typical best
+1.78%
Typical worst
-8.39%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states37 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
81%
Median 4w
+2.48%
Positive after 13w
87%
Median 13w
+5.99%
Best / worst 13w
+12.0% / -6.3%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
Buyer pressure established
The completed control reading moved into positive territory.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Seller pressure established
The completed control reading moved into negative territory.
Seller pressure established
The completed control reading moved into negative territory.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains strong, but its path has softened
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.94 ยท Strong
Current stateStrong ยท 0.94
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionWeakening
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceEstablished
56 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.94 ยท Strong
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a positive historical bias
Across 50 comparable completed observations, 70.0% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +4.7%.
Comparable observations
50
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
70.0%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+4.7%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
-3.4 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
18 Sep 2026
Latest Close
139.61
12-Week Change
-0.91%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 59.65%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
-2.54
Market Dynamics
-0.11
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-18, JPUS fell 0.91%, moving from 140.89 to 139.61. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -2.54 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.11 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 59.65% based on similar historical setup states.
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