- The trend backdrop is active with a 15-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
A1AP34
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Latest close
18.47 BRL
4.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 47.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.2%, after a 1.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
44
out of 100
Latest Close
18.47 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
1.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
21.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
51.9%
27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.4x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.98% based on similar historical setup states.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move 1.6%.
Indicator stack
74/31
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 44.98%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
54/100
26 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 47.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.2%, after a 1.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6212-week average 0.56
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.62Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 1.6% over four weeks, 21.7% over 12 weeks, and -6.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 15 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak15 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.41Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-143.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership0.92Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change113.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.
10 positive · 14 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-25.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.9%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-12.4%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+4.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses8
Recent vol8.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.5% / -6.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank45 / 100
Group average0.4%
Trend breadth23.0%
Trend23.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS29.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Auto Parts
4-week rank4 / 13
Group average-2.8%
Trend breadth23.1%
Trend23.1%active weekly trend signals
MD30.8%positive activity pressure
RS30.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape43/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 43/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis70/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 5/12.
Activity pressure 0.62; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.98%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.98% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.
Advance Auto Parts (AAP) Stock Looks Reasonable On Cash Flow But Rich On Earnings Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 18.47 BRL | 4.2% | 17.55 BRL | 17.54 BRL | -0.41 | 0.92 | 393 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 17.72 BRL | 0.3% | 17.41 BRL | 17.56 BRL | -0.22 | -6.80 | 698 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 17.66 BRL | 4.6% | 17.26 BRL | 17.58 BRL | 0.14 | -5.62 | 307 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 16.88 BRL | -7.2% | 17.14 BRL | 17.60 BRL | 0.56 | -10.42 | 110 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 18.18 BRL | -7.1% | 17.04 BRL | 17.62 BRL | 0.94 | -6.76 | 714 | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 19.56 BRL | -2.2% | 16.96 BRL | 17.63 BRL | 1.07 | 1.40 | 3 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 20.00 BRL | 1.7% | 16.92 BRL | 17.64 BRL | 1.00 | 4.13 | 156 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 19.66 BRL | 3.2% | 16.82 BRL | 17.64 BRL | 0.97 | 5.25 | 7 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 19.04 BRL | 5.2% | 16.74 BRL | 17.63 BRL | 0.87 | 0.37 | 4 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 18.10 BRL | -5.5% | 16.66 BRL | 17.64 BRL | 0.44 | -3.52 | 5 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 19.16 BRL | 3.5% | 16.59 BRL | 17.64 BRL | 0.37 | -1.10 | 2.3K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 18.51 BRL | 21.9% | 16.47 BRL | 17.65 BRL | 0.29 | -5.99 | 3.2K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 15.18 BRL | -12.4% | 16.46 BRL | 17.75 BRL | 0.34 | -23.58 | 5.2K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 17.32 BRL | -4.9% | 16.55 BRL | 17.88 BRL | 0.72 | -16.08 | 262 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.