Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
PAR ยท Equity ยท France
VLA
Valneva SE
HealthcareBiotechnology
Valneva SE, a specialty vaccine company, develops, manufactures, and commercializes prophylactic vaccines for infectious diseases with unmet needs. It offers IXIARO, an inactivated Vero cell culture-derived Japanese encephalitis vaccine indicated for active immunization against Japanese encephalitis; DUKORAL, an oral vaccine for the prevention of diarrhea caused by Vibrio cholera or heat-labile toxin producing enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli bacterium; and IXCHIQ/ VLA1553, a single-dose, live-attenuated vaccine for the prevention of disease caused by chikungunya โฆ
Last updated
21 Aug 2026
Exchange
Euronext Paris ยท PAR
Sector
Healthcare
Industry
Biotechnology
Currency
EUR
Market capitalisation
488,720,064
Fair value reference
3.49
Next-week expectancy
Negative ยท 43.91%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, VLA rose 26.54%, moving from 2.34 to 2.97. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -16.64 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.78 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.91% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
2.97
12-Week Change
26.54%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.91%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
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Weekly Price
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Chart Panels
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Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationRange-bound structure with negative but contained
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence. Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Full context ยท Unstable
Current structureRange-bound structure
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
Trend relationshipBelow a falling trend
Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Support and resistanceSupport 2.95 ยท Resistance 3.24
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
The negative weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-1.13%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterNegative but contained
Price declined, although selling did not fully control the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedLower part of the range
The close finished at 38% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityUnstable
Frequent recent changes in direction reduce confidence in the current price path.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is below a falling trend; participation is strong negative participation, and path quality is unstable.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history5% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-88.6%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+62.0%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical0.2ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
1 week ago
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
16 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
21 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
28 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
38 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateAbove the trend range
52-week position
28.3%
Low to high
Accepted price
2.67
Latest versus accepted: 11.21%
Fitted direction
Falling
-2.12% per week
Range pressure
62/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Normal
1.05ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support2.55
From price
-14.0%
Evidence
76/100
Touches
2
Support2.67
From price
-10.1%
Evidence
87/100
Touches
3
Support2.85
From price
-4.0%
Evidence
53/100
Touches
1
Resistance3.04
From price
2.6%
Evidence
36/100
Touches
1
Resistance3.68
From price
24.1%
Evidence
90/100
Touches
5
Resistance3.89
From price
31.3%
Evidence
74/100
Touches
2
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionAbove the trend range
Price is at 28.3% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionFalling
The fitted centre line is moving -2.12% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 62/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level3.04
Resistance is 2.6% from the latest close with 36/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readA repair is developing beneath price
The latest path is improving, but broader confirmation is not yet complete.
Momentum 0.14 ยท Improving
Trend qualityRepairing
The current trend state has persisted for 22 completed weeks; visible confirmation is repairing.
Momentum pathWeak ยท Improving
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
Momentum is improving, providing an early sign of repair beneath the current price path.
What would improve it
Broader agreement between price, trend and the completed-week support state would strengthen the case.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
157 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
162 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
A completed close above 26-week VWAP with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area3.17
26-week VWAP at 3.17, 7.0% above the latest close.
Weakening level2.74
A completed close below Swing low with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
26-week VWAP3.17
+7.04% from close
Swing low2.74
-7.60% from close
High-activity anchor2.73
-7.92% from close
13-week VWAP2.68
-9.69% from close
Year VWAP3.41
+14.94% from close
52-week VWAP3.66
+23.33% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 28%Above price 72%
8%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท ^FCHIWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -46.9 points.
Buyer control developing ยท 73/100
Sector ยท HealthcareBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap -4.7 points.
Seller control developing ยท 31/100
Industry ยท BiotechnologyWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -18.0 points.
Control is contested ยท 44/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim38% favourable
Events
8
Median 4w
-3.92%
Median 13w
-6.78%
Typical best
+14.82%
Typical worst
-16.16%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss50% favourable
Events
8
Median 4w
+4.59%
Median 13w
+1.08%
Typical best
+17.82%
Typical worst
-11.22%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states49 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
55%
Median 4w
+3.48%
Positive after 13w
35%
Median 13w
-8.81%
Best / worst 13w
+100.7% / -43.9%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains weak, with an early improvement
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.11 ยท Weak
Current stateWeak ยท 0.11
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionImproving
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceEstablished
14 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.11 ยท Weak
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a cautious historical bias
Across 23 comparable completed observations, 26.1% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was -14.3%.
Comparable observations
23
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
26.1%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
-14.3%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
-19.1 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
2.97
12-Week Change
26.54%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.91%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Below
Vs Fair Value
Below
Relative Strength
-16.64
Market Dynamics
0.78
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, VLA rose 26.54%, moving from 2.34 to 2.97. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -16.64 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.78 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.91% based on similar historical setup states.
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