260 completed weekly observations ยท 25 Sep 2026

ASX ยท Equity ยท technical research

MMR Technicals

MEC Resources Limited

Energy ยท Oil & Gas E&P

Aligned downwardPrice-technical state

Week ending25 September 2026
+0.0%
Open
0.002
High
0.002
Low
0.002
Close
0.002 AUD
Open chart Market Dynamics Report โ†—
Research for MMR
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Price structureAligned downwardcompleted-week alignment
Momentum36.4Negative
Risk pressure22.1%Normal
Trend quality53.6Directional
Range position14%location inside observed range
Adaptive set6 viewsselected for the current tape

01 ยท Market Dynamics

Price and underlying support

Weekly close ยท published Market Dynamics
Improving Market Dynamics is challenging the downward price structure

Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price structure remains downward.

Preparing Market Dynamics chart Checking the chart library, completed-week data and display size.
Weekly close Supportive Market Dynamics Cautious Market Dynamics Accumulation zone Distribution zone Positioning recovery Reversal warning Reversal danger
Current tape relationship
Underlying pressure is repairing

Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero.

Price location
Between zones

Price is travelling between the two major positioning zones.

Latest positioning marker
None in view

Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.

Market Dynamics confirmation
Repairing

Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path.

Chart contextPrice is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.

InterpretationThis is an early challenge rather than a confirmed reversal. Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered resolved.

Reading the zones and markers

The line shows completed weekly price. Market Dynamics describes the underlying support. Green marks a recovery through the accumulation zone; amber and red identify reversal warnings and danger. Price can stay in the distribution zone while advancing. Read the zones, markers and Market Dynamics together; they do not identify individual trades or prove who is participating.

02 ยท Technical indicators

The price move needs stronger confirmation.

6 selected views ยท 156 observations

Price is below both trend references. Trend strength supports a persistent move. Market Dynamics is not fully confirming the price structure; compare both readings before treating the move as broadly supported.

Fast trend reference 0.00214129 AUDClose -6.6%Slow trend reference 0.00293124 AUDClose -31.8%Selection adapts to the setup and available history.

Structure

Price and trend

Price0.002

Aligned downward. Price anchors every interpretation against the same completed observations.

Watch Watch whether price holds its trend references or begins to cross back through them.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.

Close
0.002
Fast trend
0.0021
Slow trend
0.0029
Upper envelope
0.0054
Lower envelope
0.0001

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Structure

Trend strength and direction

Trend strength53.63

Directional trend. Trend strength helps decide how much weight to put on momentum extremes.

Watch Strength measures persistence, not direction. Compare positive and negative control before interpreting it.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.

Trend strength
53.63
Positive direction
7.04
Negative direction
39.29

Available history begins 2025-03-07. Missing observations remain gaps.

Momentum

Momentum change

Impulse expansion0.00

Positive impulse, strengthening. Acceleration can reveal a change before the broader price structure fully responds.

Watch A return through the neutral line deserves attention when trend and participation also change.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

The impulse path separates directional acceleration from a loss of momentum.

Impulse
-0.0007
Signal
-0.0007
Expansion
0.00

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Risk

Drawdown and recovery

Drawdown-75.00%

Recovery still incomplete. Distance below the observed high separates recovery from an established new high.

Watch A recovery can improve while price remains below its former high. Track both parts of the path.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.

Drawdown
-75.00
Recovery
33.33

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Leadership

Relative strength

Relative strength-50.92

Lagging the benchmark. Benchmark context tests whether the move is company leadership or broader market participation.

Watch Watch whether relative strength confirms the absolute trend or continues to disagree.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Relative performance is separated from absolute price direction to reveal leadership and lagging pressure.

Relative strength
-50.92

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Momentum

Momentum

Momentum36.44

Negative pressure. Momentum helps test whether the latest price direction has follow-through.

Watch Watch for pressure to turn with price. A stretched reading alone does not establish a reversal.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Two independent momentum views show whether pressure is broadening, fading or stretched.

Momentum
36.44
Rotation
50.00
Rotation signal
38.10

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

More indicators3 additional views from the same history

Risk

Range and volatility

Range pressure22.07%

Ordinary variability. Recent variability puts the size of price moves and reference gaps in context.

Watch Watch whether a range expansion gains directional follow-through or quickly reverses.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.

Range pressure
22.07
Envelope width
190.35

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Participation

Volume participation

Activity / norm44.61

Below normal activity. Activity tests the participation behind price; it does not identify who is buying or selling.

Watch Look for sustained participation in the direction of price, rather than a single busy observation.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.

Activity versus norm
44.61
Cumulative balance
101.39

Available history begins 2024-12-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Structure

Position in the recent range

Range position14.29%

Pressing the lower range. Range location is especially useful when a trend is not yet firmly established.

Watch Look for acceptance outside the range or a return toward its middle, supported by momentum.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.

Range position
14.29
From high
-60.00
From low
33.33

Available history begins 2024-12-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

03 ยท Scenarios

Conditions to monitor

Possible developments ยท no assigned probabilities
Continuation

The decline retains control

Price remains below its trend references, downward momentum persists and relative strength fails to repair. Check whether Market Dynamics continues to support that direction.

Early repair

A rebound begins to gain support

Momentum improves and price regains the fast trend reference. A rebound alone does not establish a durable change; compare the slower reference and Market Dynamics.

Challenge the view

The downward structure is displaced

Price recovers its trend references while momentum and leadership improve. Reassess the bearish structure as completed observations confirm the repair.

Sharemaestro tape intelligence

SM gauge assessment

One assessment resolves price structure and Market Dynamics. The supporting views show the control, force, direction and confidence behind it.

100/100 evidence depth
observed participation included
Joint downward confirmation The gauges support the downward market view

Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.

SM Consensus Gauge-13.8

Joint downward confirmation

SM Control Gauge-18.6

Seller control supports the view

SM Force Gauge-0.0

Commitment is limited

SM Direction Gauge-18.1

Downward follow-through

SM Confirmation Gauge57/100

Qualified support

SM consensus path ยท Market Dynamics display window

SM Consensus Gauge against price

The bars show the direction and strength of the resolved assessment. Completed price is retained as context.

Latest -13.8
Joint downward confirmation
Supportive consensus Cautious consensus Weekly close Neutral

Control

SM Control Gauge

Shows whether buyer or seller control supports the current assessment and whether that support is strengthening or easing.

Current controlSeller control supports the viewRecent pathBroadly stableLatest 12 months
Buyer controlSeller controlBalanced

Commitment

SM Force Gauge

Shows the strength of market commitment behind the current assessment.

Current forceCommitment is limitedRecent pathBroadly stableLatest 12 months
Positive forceNegative forceActivity intensity

Direction and follow-through

SM Direction Gauge

Shows the directional follow-through behind the current assessment and whether it is established or still developing.

Current directionDownward follow-throughFollow-throughEstablishedLatest 12 months
Advancing directionDeclining directionFollow-through

Assessment strength

SM Confirmation Gauge

Shows how firmly the current assessment is supported. Greater assessment risk reduces the weight of the conclusion.

ConfirmationQualified supportAssessment riskContainedLatest 12 months
SM Confirmation GaugeAssessment risk

05 ยท Historical record

Evidence from previous conditions

Completed cases ยท open cases excluded from outcomes

MMR ยท current evidence

Current conditions

The downside structure remains in place, but improving Market Dynamics weakens that case. A positive price response is needed to confirm the repair.

1
NowStronger this week

Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero.

2
Recent directionStrengthened over four weeks

Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path.

3
Price responsePrice remains in a downward structure

Improving Market Dynamics has not yet produced a positive price response.

4
Previous casesRecord building
What strengthens this viewThis is an early challenge rather than a confirmed reversal. Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered resolved.What would change itReassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.

Completed observations

Historical comparisons

Zone visits are counted once and followed through completed weekly closes. Open cases remain separate.

Price relationship Variable relationship
Same-week correlation
0.22
Direction agreed
44.0%
Completed comparisons
50
After accumulation1 distinct visit
4 weeks100.0% higher1 outcome 12 weeksRecord building0 outcomes 26 weeksRecord building0 outcomes

Average time before leaving the zone: 1.0 weeks.

After distribution1 distinct visit
4 weeks100.0% lower1 outcome 12 weeks100.0% lower1 outcome 26 weeks100.0% lower1 outcome

Average time before leaving the zone: 1.0 weeks.

When the two readings agreed or differed

Completed outcomes by condition

These cases compare price direction with Market Dynamics and show how large disagreements were resolved.

Price higher ยท Market Dynamics positive 20.0% were higher

Average 12-week move: -2.7% from 5 completed cases.

Price lower ยท Market Dynamics negative 12.5% were lower

Average 12-week move: 12.8% from 8 completed cases.

Price higher ยท Market Dynamics cautious Average pullback 29.9%

57.1% were lower after 12 weeks. The deepest pullback arrived after 7.3 weeks on average.

Price cautious ยท Market Dynamics positive Average recovery 21.5%

50.0% were higher after 12 weeks. The strongest recovery arrived after 2.0 weeks on average.

How to use the reading

Strategy observations from this ticker's own record

The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.

Zone positioning
Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case

After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.

ApproachReview long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.

Review the case whenA sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup.

Disagreement playbook
Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline

Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 29.9% across 7 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.3 weeks on average.

ApproachAvoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.

Review the case whenThe warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way.

Historical outcomes describe this ticker's completed record. They do not make the next move certain and are not trading instructions.

Readings describe completed observations. A strong reading is not a forecast, and historical outcomes are not probabilities for the next move. The full record, related research and technical pack remain available for closer review.

Technical research pack โ†—

Evidence context