JAG TOR Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Jaguar Mining Inc. · Basic Materials · Gold

Latest close 6.71 CAD
24.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 47.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 24.5%, after a 29.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 47/100.

Setup score 46 out of 100
Latest Close 6.71 CAD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 24.5% latest completed week
4W Return 29.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -0.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 63.5% 33 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 47.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 24.5%, after a 29.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0712-week average 0.16

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.07Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 29.5% over four weeks, -0.3% over 12 weeks, and 57.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W24.5%
4W29.5%
12W-0.3%
26W-13.3%
52W57.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year33
Trend breadth63.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.63Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change56.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-8.99Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change66.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 82%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength50/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
Value29/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Quality70/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Momentum72/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Growth14/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework76/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
38.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
0.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
56.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
30.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
0.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
18.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-14.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-120.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-4.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment47/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.

3 positive · 14 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-30.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+24.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-19.4%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+24.5%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses10
Recent vol11.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.3% / -8.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20266.71 CAD24.5%6.85 CAD4.09 CAD-0.63-8.99932.6KOff
31 Jul 20265.39 CAD1.1%6.90 CAD4.06 CAD-1.16-24.27582.7KOff
24 Jul 20265.33 CAD7.7%6.96 CAD4.04 CAD-1.25-25.30734.7KOff
17 Jul 20264.95 CAD-4.4%7.03 CAD4.01 CAD-1.34-30.38552.5KOff
10 Jul 20265.18 CAD-9.9%7.12 CAD3.99 CAD-1.44-27.18383.0KOff
3 Jul 20265.75 CAD11.7%7.19 CAD3.97 CAD-1.54-18.9558.3KOff
26 Jun 20265.15 CAD-8.0%7.22 CAD3.95 CAD-1.67-26.68105.8KOff
19 Jun 20265.60 CAD-0.9%7.29 CAD3.93 CAD-1.59-20.0865.0KOff
12 Jun 20265.65 CAD-0.9%7.29 CAD3.91 CAD-1.53-19.1087.6KOff
5 Jun 20265.70 CAD-18.3%7.30 CAD3.88 CAD-1.34-17.02272.0KOff
29 May 20266.98 CAD17.7%7.29 CAD3.86 CAD-1.140.71733.3KOff
22 May 20265.93 CAD-11.9%7.25 CAD3.83 CAD-1.24-13.22819.2KOff
15 May 20266.73 CAD-4.8%7.26 CAD3.81 CAD-1.210.69767.6KOff
8 May 20267.07 CAD10.1%7.25 CAD3.78 CAD-1.245.84713.3KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context