- The trend backdrop is active with a 58-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
AYA
TOR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Aya Gold & Silver Inc. · Basic Materials · Silver
Latest close
37.88 CAD
37.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 49.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 37.5%, after a 32.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
71
out of 100
Latest Close
37.88 CAD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
37.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
32.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
43.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.6x
vs 13-week average
- 12 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
37.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 32.1%.
Indicator stack
100/59
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
52/100
44 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 49.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 37.5%, after a 32.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8912-week average 0.71
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.89Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1212 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 12 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 32.1% over four weeks, 43.1% over 12 weeks, and 206.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 58 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak58 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.60Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-22.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership58.39Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change99.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 88%
Model confidence 82%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength49/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
Value2/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Quality97/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Momentum97/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Growth92/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework28/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 62.4x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 19.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 30.8x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 1.0% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 54.9% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 45.9% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 19.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 25.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 416.7% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 8/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -1.9% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -1.9% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 44 relevant articles.
5 positive · 38 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility13.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+37.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-20.7%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+37.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains13
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses7
Recent vol13.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol12.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew10.2% / -7.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Basic Materials
4-week rank4 / 100
Group average13.1%
Trend breadth19.0%
Trend19.0%active weekly trend signals
MD17.0%positive activity pressure
RS51.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Silver
4-week rank3 / 11
Group average25.3%
Trend breadth27.3%
Trend27.3%active weekly trend signals
MD18.2%positive activity pressure
RS54.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape69/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 69/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis76/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.89; 12 reversal markers Factors60/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 79; Small Cap Core rank 100 SVQF28/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 220.5 of 304 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 44 relevant articles.
Endeavour Silver (TSX:EDR) Stock May Be 20% Below Fair Value As Earnings Lag Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 37.88 CAD | 37.5% | 25.37 CAD | 15.23 CAD | 0.60 | 58.39 | 7.3M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 27.54 CAD | -0.9% | 24.82 CAD | 15.04 CAD | 0.31 | 21.04 | 5.2M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 27.79 CAD | 5.7% | 24.55 CAD | 14.91 CAD | 0.48 | 22.87 | 5.1M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 26.29 CAD | -8.3% | 24.29 CAD | 14.79 CAD | 0.57 | 17.65 | 3.8M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 28.68 CAD | -2.2% | 24.07 CAD | 14.67 CAD | 0.77 | 29.24 | 4.1M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 29.32 CAD | 4.2% | 23.82 CAD | 14.55 CAD | 0.59 | 33.62 | 444.1K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 28.13 CAD | 0.1% | 23.44 CAD | 14.41 CAD | 0.20 | 30.70 | 1.3M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 28.10 CAD | 7.5% | 23.14 CAD | 14.29 CAD | 0.14 | 32.08 | 6.5M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 26.13 CAD | 9.5% | 22.65 CAD | 14.16 CAD | -0.09 | 24.22 | 1.1M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 23.87 CAD | -17.7% | 22.28 CAD | 14.05 CAD | -0.03 | 16.14 | 1.4M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 29.02 CAD | 20.2% | 21.96 CAD | 13.95 CAD | 0.16 | 40.49 | 6.1M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 24.15 CAD | -8.8% | 21.49 CAD | 13.83 CAD | -0.05 | 19.41 | 7.6M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 26.47 CAD | 0.1% | 21.18 CAD | 13.73 CAD | -0.18 | 34.45 | 8.0M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 26.44 CAD | 5.5% | 20.86 CAD | 13.62 CAD | -0.37 | 35.04 | 6.5M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.