- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
NVM
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Novem Group S.A. · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Latest close
2.46 EUR
-7.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 7.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.5%, after a -6.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 62/100.
Setup score
27
out of 100
Latest Close
2.46 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-7.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
-6.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-8.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 37.16% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-7.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move -6.1%.
Indicator stack
0/65
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 37.16%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
62/100
5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 7.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.5%, after a -6.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1412-week average 0.10
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.14Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals2Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -6.1% over four weeks, -8.2% over 12 weeks, and -36.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.80Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change10.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-22.98Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-32.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength83/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Value97/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Quality64/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Momentum8/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Growth14/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework55/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 9.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 3.2x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 20.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 48.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 3.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 8.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 6.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -5.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 1.1% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 85.3% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment62/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 5 relevant articles.
1 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-36.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.2%Week of 20 Mar.
Worst week-7.7%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week-7.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains8
Flat weeks2
Modest losses10
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.8% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank66 / 86
Group average0.1%
Trend breadth34.9%
Trend34.9%active weekly trend signals
MD59.3%positive activity pressure
RS25.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Auto Parts
4-week rank17 / 22
Group average-1.2%
Trend breadth18.2%
Trend18.2%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS9.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape25/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 25/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis23/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.14; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 37.16%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 37.16% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors64/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Tiny Titans rank 72; Buyback Yield rank 74; Small Cap Core rank 10 SVQF55/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 170.0 of 375 Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment62/100Weighted news tone is positive across 5 relevant articles.
Novem Group (XTRA:NVM) Stock Eyes Profit Recovery Despite Lumpy Tooling Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 2.46 EUR | -7.5% | 2.74 EUR | 4.79 EUR | 0.80 | -22.98 | 37.2K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 2.66 EUR | 1.5% | 2.76 EUR | 4.83 EUR | 1.03 | -15.36 | 64.4K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 2.62 EUR | 4.0% | 2.77 EUR | 4.88 EUR | 1.01 | -15.76 | 47.4K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 2.52 EUR | -3.8% | 2.78 EUR | 4.93 EUR | 0.87 | -18.87 | 79.2K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 2.62 EUR | -4.4% | 2.79 EUR | 4.97 EUR | 0.73 | -17.29 | 59.3K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 2.74 EUR | 4.6% | 2.79 EUR | 5.01 EUR | 0.49 | -16.76 | 18.2K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 2.62 EUR | 2.3% | 2.78 EUR | 5.06 EUR | 0.08 | -17.69 | 100 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 2.56 EUR | -2.3% | 2.79 EUR | 5.10 EUR | -0.11 | -21.34 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2.62 EUR | 3.1% | 2.80 EUR | 5.14 EUR | -0.25 | -19.26 | 30 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 2.54 EUR | -3.8% | 2.80 EUR | 5.18 EUR | -0.35 | -23.00 | 1.8K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 2.64 EUR | -0.8% | 2.82 EUR | 5.21 EUR | -0.30 | -21.94 | 4.9K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 2.66 EUR | -0.7% | 2.84 EUR | 5.24 EUR | -0.38 | -21.55 | 3.5K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 2.68 EUR | 0.0% | 2.85 EUR | 5.28 EUR | -0.46 | -18.69 | 15.2K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 2.68 EUR | 1.5% | 2.87 EUR | 5.32 EUR | -0.52 | -20.61 | 34.8K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.