TRN NYSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Trinity Industries Inc · Industrials · Railroads

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Latest close 29.90 USD
-4.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is -8.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 40.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.3%, after a -15.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 48/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.

Setup score 38 out of 100
Latest Close 29.90 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -4.3% latest completed week
4W Return -15.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -12.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 82.7% 43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 35-week active streak.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -4.3% Latest completed week; four-week move -15.5%. Indicator stack 90/26 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bearish 48/100 conviction; expected move 6.6%. News sentiment 51/100 54 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 30 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is -8.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 40.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.3%, after a -15.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7312-week average 0.79

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.73Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -15.5% over four weeks, -12.7% over 12 weeks, and 13.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 35 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.3%
4W-15.5%
12W-12.7%
26W-0.7%
52W13.5%
Active trend streak35 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.25Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-238.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.74Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-249.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength96/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Value91/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Quality77/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Momentum75/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Growth36/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework68/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
6.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
7.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
15.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
26.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
36.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
55.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
9.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-18.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
255.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
4.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
4.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

TRN shows bearish options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 4.33, expected move of 6.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction48/100
Expected move6.6%
Put/call volume4.33
Pressure-75
Speculation5
Volatility56
Trend agreement37
Open options detail
Insider activity15 / 5

15 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.

14 positive · 32 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move6.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-21.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.4%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-16.5%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-4.3%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses7
Recent vol5.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape46/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 46/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis71/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 9/12.

Activity pressure 0.73; 2 reversal markers Factors84/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 19; Small Cap Core rank 9 SVQF68/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 322.5 of 1018 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options37/100

TRN shows bearish options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 4.33, expected move of 6.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 6.6% Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.

Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership Makes New $6.71 Million Investment in Trinity Industries, Inc. $TRN Insiders15 / 5

15 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings30 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202629.90 USD-4.3%32.74 USD28.15 USD-0.25-11.744.1MOn
31 Jul 202631.24 USD-16.5%32.67 USD28.11 USD0.04-4.685.8MOn
24 Jul 202637.41 USD2.6%32.51 USD28.06 USD0.1115.592.8MOn
17 Jul 202636.47 USD3.1%32.16 USD27.97 USD0.2212.533.5MOn
10 Jul 202635.39 USD4.6%31.87 USD27.88 USD0.187.883.4MOn
3 Jul 202633.83 USD-5.5%31.62 USD27.80 USD0.244.703.3MOn
26 Jun 202635.80 USD4.8%31.39 USD27.73 USD0.2413.234.7MOn
19 Jun 202634.18 USD-0.8%31.06 USD27.64 USD-0.005.833.1MOn
12 Jun 202634.46 USD5.2%30.77 USD27.56 USD-0.067.893.7MOn
5 Jun 202632.76 USD1.0%30.45 USD27.47 USD-0.093.333.8MOn
29 May 202632.44 USD-0.9%30.20 USD27.39 USD0.16-0.144.6MOn
22 May 202632.72 USD-4.5%30.01 USD27.31 USD0.412.213.6MOn
15 May 202634.26 USD-6.5%29.84 USD27.23 USD0.468.022.7MOn
8 May 202636.63 USD1.1%29.61 USD27.13 USD0.5015.872.9MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context