- The trend backdrop is active with a 50-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
TNIE
VIE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
tonies SE · Consumer Cyclical · Leisure
Latest close
12.04 EUR
-1.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.6%, after a -3.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.
Setup score
65
out of 100
Latest Close
12.04 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-1.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
-3.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
14.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
96.2%
50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.9x
vs 13-week average
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move -3.8%.
Indicator stack
98/55
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 61.04%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
56/100
12 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.6%, after a -3.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8712-week average 0.68
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.87Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -3.8% over four weeks, 14.7% over 12 weeks, and 103.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 50 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak50 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.53Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-53.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-0.27Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-103.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.
4 positive · 8 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.5%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-7.1%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-1.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains9
Flat weeks1
Modest losses5
Sharp losses6
Recent vol5.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.9% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAT Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank- / 100
Group average2.3%
Trend breadth45.0%
Trend45.0%active weekly trend signals
MD62.0%positive activity pressure
RS11.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAT Leisure
4-week rank5 / 6
Group average7.1%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS16.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape68/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 68/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis77/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 11/12.
Activity pressure 0.87; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 61.04%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 61.04% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.
Original-Research: tonies SE (von NuWays AG): BUY Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 12.04 EUR | -1.6% | 11.14 EUR | 8.33 EUR | 0.53 | -0.27 | 2.3K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 12.24 EUR | -5.6% | 11.10 EUR | 8.29 EUR | 0.71 | 5.06 | 0 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 12.96 EUR | 9.8% | 11.04 EUR | 8.25 EUR | 0.85 | 11.91 | 1.4K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 11.80 EUR | -5.8% | 10.94 EUR | 8.20 EUR | 0.82 | 4.11 | 0 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 12.52 EUR | -2.0% | 10.88 EUR | 8.16 EUR | 1.14 | 9.10 | 3.1K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 12.78 EUR | 3.4% | 10.77 EUR | 8.11 EUR | 0.98 | 10.79 | 0 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 12.36 EUR | -4.8% | 10.66 EUR | 8.06 EUR | 0.63 | 10.58 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 12.98 EUR | 12.5% | 10.57 EUR | 8.02 EUR | 0.22 | 14.70 | 3.8K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 11.54 EUR | 5.7% | 10.44 EUR | 7.96 EUR | -0.38 | 7.17 | 0 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 10.92 EUR | 0.7% | 10.34 EUR | 7.92 EUR | -0.60 | 4.85 | 0 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 10.84 EUR | 2.7% | 10.24 EUR | 7.88 EUR | -0.71 | 3.43 | 0 | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 10.56 EUR | 0.6% | 10.17 EUR | 7.85 EUR | -0.77 | 4.04 | 30 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 10.50 EUR | 4.4% | 10.11 EUR | 7.82 EUR | -0.82 | 6.03 | 4.8K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 10.06 EUR | -2.5% | 10.04 EUR | 7.79 EUR | -0.93 | 1.58 | 250 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.