- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.53% based on similar historical setup states.
2784
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Alfresa Holdings Corporation · Healthcare · Medical Distribution
Latest close
2,200 JPY
-5.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.2%, after a -0.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
49
out of 100
Latest Close
2,200 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-5.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-7.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
73.1%
38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The latest week was a sharp negative move.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-5.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.1%.
Indicator stack
40/61
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.53%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.2%, after a -0.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1512-week average 0.24
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.15Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.1% over four weeks, -7.5% over 12 weeks, and 0.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year38
Trend breadth73.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.14Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change110.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-21.54Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change20.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.8%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-7.5%Week of 22 May.
Latest week-5.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.0% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Healthcare
4-week rank59 / 100
Group average1.5%
Trend breadth29.0%
Trend29.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS13.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Medical Distribution
4-week rank5 / 11
Group average0.7%
Trend breadth18.2%
Trend18.2%active weekly trend signals
MD72.7%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape49/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 49/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis13/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.15; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.53%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.53% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
JP¥2,340: That's What Analysts Think Alfresa Holdings Corporation (TSE:2784) Is Worth After Its Latest Results Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 2,200 JPY | -5.2% | 2,371 JPY | 2,184 JPY | 0.14 | -21.54 | 4.0M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 2,320 JPY | -1.3% | 2,381 JPY | 2,184 JPY | -0.19 | -16.39 | 2.8M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 2,349 JPY | 1.3% | 2,384 JPY | 2,182 JPY | -0.72 | -16.27 | 1.6M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 2,319 JPY | 5.3% | 2,386 JPY | 2,180 JPY | -1.14 | -17.25 | 2.6M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 2,202 JPY | 1.1% | 2,389 JPY | 2,178 JPY | -1.45 | -26.98 | 2.3M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 2,178 JPY | 0.0% | 2,395 JPY | 2,176 JPY | -1.56 | -29.54 | 450.4K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 2,178 JPY | -0.3% | 2,399 JPY | 2,175 JPY | -1.57 | -29.69 | 362.6K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 2,184 JPY | -1.0% | 2,404 JPY | 2,173 JPY | -1.43 | -31.81 | 771.7K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2,206 JPY | 0.2% | 2,408 JPY | 2,172 JPY | -1.33 | -26.31 | 612.0K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 2,200 JPY | -1.6% | 2,410 JPY | 2,171 JPY | -1.08 | -27.64 | 409.1K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 2,235 JPY | 1.6% | 2,411 JPY | 2,170 JPY | -1.02 | -26.71 | 3.2M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 2,200 JPY | -7.5% | 2,408 JPY | 2,168 JPY | -1.05 | -24.94 | 3.4M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 2,378 JPY | 1.5% | 2,407 JPY | 2,166 JPY | -0.98 | -16.86 | 2.5M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 2,344 JPY | -0.6% | 2,398 JPY | 2,164 JPY | -1.01 | -20.13 | 1.1M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.