Composite setup radar
34
Risk-first tape
JPX Equity Snapshot
2784 Weekly Equity Report
Alfresa Holdings Corporation
Latest Close
2,206 JPY
12 Jun 2026
1W Return
0.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-7.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-7.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
76.9%
40 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
Company Brief
What the company does
Alfresa Holdings Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, wholesale, marketing, and import/export of pharmaceuticals, diagnostic reagents, and medical devices/equipment in Japan and internationally. It is also involved in the operation of dispensing pharmacies and conducting related businesses; ethical pharmaceuticals wholesaling business; self-medication products wholesaling business; and other medical-related businesses. In addition, the company manufactures and markets active pharmaceutical ingredients; contract distribution services in hospitals; operation, maintenance, and development of information system; supply of cell raw materials; manufacturing of specific processed cells and regenerative medicine products. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is …
Snapshot
What the weekly tape is saying
2784 closed the latest completed week at 2,206 JPY. The 4-week return is -7.3% and the 12-week return is -7.6%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -1.02. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 34/100 composite read.
Trend Signal
Inactive
Market Dynamics
No fresh buy
Price vs Trend
-8.4%
Volume
1.2x
Setup Cockpit
A compressed read of the whole setup
The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.
Scoreboard
Trend
42
Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum
26
Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics
31
Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength
0
Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume
52
Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control
50
Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.
16-week signal tape
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
Weekly return bar
Trend Signal dot
Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action
Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value
Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.
52-week price path
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
Price map
- Trend Line
- 2,408 JPY
- Vs Trend Line
- -8.4%
- Fair Value
- 2,172 JPY
- Vs Fair Value
- 1.5%
- 52W High
- 2,649 JPY
- 52W Low
- 1,877 JPY
- Drawdown
- -16.7%
- Range Position
- 42.6%
Momentum
Returns and trend persistence
Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.
Return windows
Trend read
- Active Streak
- 0 weeks
- 52W Active Weeks
- 40
- 52W Active Breadth
- 76.9%
- Sector Scope
- JP Healthcare
- Sector Rank
- 67 of 223
- Sector Percentile
- 70.3%
Peer Context
Sector and industry pulse
Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.
JP Healthcare
- Tracked Peers
- 100
- 4W Rank
- 71 of 100
- Avg 1W
- -1.3%
- Avg 4W
- -3.4%
- Trend Breadth
- 27.0%
- Positive MD
- 28.0%
JP Medical Distribution
- Tracked Peers
- 11
- 4W Rank
- 10 of 11
- Avg 1W
- 1.2%
- Avg 4W
- -0.9%
- Trend Breadth
- 9.1%
- Positive RS
- 0.0%
Market Dynamics
Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation
Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.
Dynamics path
Market Dynamics
Relative Strength
Signal state
- Market Dynamics
- -1.02
- 4W MD Change
- -4.0%
- Relative Strength
- -26.31
- 4W RS Change
- -56.0%
- Expectation
- Positive
- Probability
- 56.62%
Volume
Participation and confirmation
Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.
52-week volume profile
Volume map
- Latest Volume
- 2.6M
- 13W Average
- 2.1M
- 52W Average
- 1.7M
- Vs 13W
- 1.2x
- Vs 52W
- 1.5x
Risk Anatomy
Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape
A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.
26-week return distribution
Risk map
- 13W Volatility
- 3.2%
- 52W Volatility
- 2.8%
- Upside Weeks
- 33
- Downside Weeks
- 19
- Downside Breadth
- 36.5%
- Avg Gain / Loss
- 1.9% / -2.5%
Context
Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points
Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.
Classification
- Exchange
- JPX
- Country
- JP
- Sector
- Healthcare
- Industry
- Medical Distribution
- Currency
- JPY
- Market Cap
- 406.1B
Opportunity signals
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Risk signals
- Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
Watch next
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape
Recent completed weeks
The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend | Fair Value | MD | RS | Volume | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2,206 JPY | 0.2% | 2,408 JPY | 2,172 JPY | -1.02 | -26.31 | 2.6M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 2,200 JPY | -1.6% | 2,410 JPY | 2,171 JPY | -0.91 | -27.64 | 2.7M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 2,235 JPY | 1.6% | 2,411 JPY | 2,170 JPY | -1.00 | -26.71 | 3.2M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 2,200 JPY | -7.5% | 2,408 JPY | 2,168 JPY | -1.04 | -24.94 | 3.4M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 2,378 JPY | 1.5% | 2,407 JPY | 2,166 JPY | -0.98 | -16.86 | 2.5M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 2,344 JPY | -0.6% | 2,398 JPY | 2,164 JPY | -1.01 | -20.13 | 1.1M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 2,359 JPY | -1.3% | 2,390 JPY | 2,161 JPY | -0.78 | -15.99 | 1.6M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 2,389 JPY | -1.4% | 2,380 JPY | 2,157 JPY | -0.45 | -15.81 | 1.8M | On |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 2,424 JPY | -2.4% | 2,370 JPY | 2,154 JPY | -0.37 | -13.42 | 1.5M | On |
| 10 Apr 2026 | 2,482 JPY | -4.6% | 2,360 JPY | 2,149 JPY | -0.38 | -9.58 | 1.6M | On |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 2,600 JPY | 5.0% | 2,352 JPY | 2,144 JPY | -0.47 | 0.94 | 1.9M | On |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 2,476 JPY | 3.7% | 2,339 JPY | 2,138 JPY | -0.46 | -4.75 | 1.7M | On |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 2,387 JPY | 1.4% | 2,328 JPY | 2,132 JPY | -0.07 | -8.50 | 1.4M | On |
| 13 Mar 2026 | 2,354 JPY | -5.4% | 2,321 JPY | 2,127 JPY | 0.28 | -10.86 | 1.5M | On |