Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data · Independent research
EBS · ETF · Switzerland
DFNS
VanEck Defense ETF A USD Acc
Last updated
21 Aug 2026
Exchange
SIX Swiss Exchange · EBS
Sector
Not classified
Industry
Not classified
Currency
CHF
Market capitalisation
Not available
Fair value reference
37.70
Next-week expectancy
Undecided · 54.83%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, DFNS rose 5.14%, moving from 49.24 to 51.77. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -7.07 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.58 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 54.83% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
51.77
12-Week Change
5.14%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 54.83%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Weekly Price
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Chart Panels
Choose up to 5 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationAdvancing structure with weak close
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range. Price is above its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is falling.
Full context · Unstable
Current structureAdvancing structure
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range.
Trend relationshipAbove trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is falling.
Support and resistanceSupport 45.94 · Resistance 52.50
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
The negative weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-6.23%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterWeak close
Price declined and finished in the lower part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedNear the weekly low
The close finished at 6% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityUnstable
Frequent recent changes in direction reduce confidence in the current price path.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above trend; participation is strong negative participation, and path quality is unstable.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history81% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-12.9%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+169.2%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical3.1× typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
1 week ago
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
8 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
17 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
30 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
38 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateAbove accepted value
52-week position
47.3%
Low to high
Accepted price
39.34
Latest versus accepted: 31.60%
Fitted direction
Sideways
0.06% per week
Range pressure
58/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Expanding
1.26× normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure · 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support39.34
From price
-24.0%
Evidence
96/100
Touches
4
Support46.02
From price
-11.1%
Evidence
89/100
Touches
6
Support50.74
From price
-2.0%
Evidence
80/100
Touches
4
Resistance52.37
From price
1.2%
Evidence
51/100
Touches
2
Resistance53.60
From price
3.5%
Evidence
30/100
Touches
1
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionAbove accepted value
Price is at 47.3% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionSideways
The fitted centre line is moving +0.06% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 58/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level52.37
Resistance is 1.1% from the latest close with 51/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure · volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readUnderlying support is constructive and strengthening
The visible Smart Money evidence is aligned and its completed-week momentum path is improving.
Momentum 0.22 · Improving
Trend qualityConstructive
The current trend state has persisted for 16 completed weeks; visible confirmation is constructive.
Momentum pathSoft · Improving
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsWarning
A demand warning appeared 1 completed week ago; watch whether support stabilises or weakens further.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
A demand warning appeared 1 completed week ago; watch whether support stabilises or weakens further.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
1 week ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
18 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
19 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
20 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
22 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readPositive pressure is established and strengthening
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position. Positive pressure is becoming more forceful across the recent completed path.
+37.33% · Positive · Strengthening
Market positionPositive
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position.
Pressure directionStrengthening
Positive pressure is becoming more forceful across the recent completed path.
Trend qualityUnstable
The recent path has changed direction frequently, reducing confidence in persistence.
Risks and warningsTransition risk
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
Price remains in positive market-perception territory.
What would improve it
Continued positive pressure with an orderly completed path would strengthen confirmation.
What could weaken it
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
What to watch next
The latest path is strengthening with unstable trend quality. Comparable history is mixed follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionUpper 42% of history
The latest reading is stronger than 58% of completed observations.
State persistence148 completed weeks
The current positive state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyMixed follow-through
Across 86 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 56% of the time; the typical move was +0.5%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
3 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
6 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
9 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
11 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
19 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
20 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlControl is contested
Price is below the core VWAP, which is falling. 64% of recent weighted activity has been accepted below it.
48/100 pressure
ControlControl is contested
Pressure 48/100 and +26.5 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack3 of 6 below price
6 references converge near 52.06: Swing low, High-activity anchor, 52-week VWAP, 26-week VWAP, 13-week VWAP, Year VWAP.
Acceptance64% below
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Core direction-0.2% / week
Four-week direction; change in pace +1.1 pts.
Stretch0.3 normal ranges below
Price is -1.5% from the core VWAP.
Persistence1 completed week
Price has remained below the core VWAP.
Price, VWAP structure and control transfers
Where control changed
156 completed weeks · Reported weekly volume
Weekly close13-week VWAP26-week VWAP52-week VWAPHigh-activity anchorNormal VWAP rangePositive transferNegative transfer
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 · contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Control transfer weakening
Control transfer weakening
Price has completed its first move below the core VWAP; recovery or further acceptance below will decide the next state.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
6 references converge near 52.06: Swing low, High-activity anchor, 52-week VWAP, 26-week VWAP, 13-week VWAP, Year VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation51.89
A completed close above High-activity anchor with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area51.70
Swing low at 51.70, 0.1% below the latest close.
Weakening level51.70
A completed close below Swing low with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
Swing low51.70
-0.13% from close
High-activity anchor51.89
+0.23% from close
52-week VWAP51.51
-0.50% from close
26-week VWAP52.56
+1.52% from close
13-week VWAP50.98
-1.53% from close
Year VWAP53.70
+3.73% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 50%Above price 50%
26%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark · ^SSMIWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -32.6 points.
Buyers firmly in control · 80/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible history—not a forecast.
Weekly reclaim100% favourable
Events
4
Median 4w
+11.38%
Median 13w
+19.27%
Typical best
+22.87%
Typical worst
+0.69%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss20% favourable
Events
5
Median 4w
+8.92%
Median 13w
+20.50%
Typical best
+23.85%
Typical worst
+2.10%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states7 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
86%
Median 4w
+4.33%
Positive after 13w
71%
Median 13w
+16.61%
Best / worst 13w
+22.3% / -7.0%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Buyer pressure established
The completed control reading moved into positive territory.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Seller pressure established
The completed control reading moved into negative territory.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Seller pressure established
The completed control reading moved into negative territory.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support is fragile, but repair has begun
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.21 · Fragile
Current stateFragile · 0.21
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionImproving
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceNew
1 completed week in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.21 · Fragile
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Historical context is still developing
There are not yet enough comparable completed observations for a responsible outcome summary.
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
51.77
12-Week Change
5.14%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 54.83%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
-7.07
Market Dynamics
0.58
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, DFNS rose 5.14%, moving from 49.24 to 51.77. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -7.07 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.58 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 54.83% based on similar historical setup states.
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