CE NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Celanese Corporation · Basic Materials · Chemicals

Latest close 44.72 USD
-3.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.6%, after a -6.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 51/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 48/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 26 out of 100
Latest Close 44.72 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.6% latest completed week
4W Return -6.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -21.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 32.7% 17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.6%, after a -6.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1512-week average 0.49

12-week confirmation

Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.15Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -6.1% over four weeks, -21.8% over 12 weeks, and -7.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.6%
4W-6.1%
12W-21.8%
26W0.7%
52W-7.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.08Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-6.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.17Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-23.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 84%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength39/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Value75/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Quality11/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Momentum17/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Growth19/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
40.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
9.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
19.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-4.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
15.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-1.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-5.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
14.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
26.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

CE shows volatility options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.96, expected move of 13.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction51/100
Expected move13.5%
Put/call volume1.96
Pressure-32
Speculation18
Volatility86
Trend agreement98
Open options detail
Insider activity16 / 4

16 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.

11 positive · 29 neutral · 13 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move13.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-36.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+23.5%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-17.4%Week of 8 May.
Latest week-3.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.9% / -4.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202644.72 USD-3.6%53.61 USD88.07 USD-1.08-16.1710.1MOff
24 Jul 202646.40 USD1.6%53.53 USD88.55 USD-1.08-12.528.6MOff
17 Jul 202645.67 USD-2.6%53.41 USD89.04 USD-1.08-15.087.2MOff
10 Jul 202646.89 USD-1.6%53.29 USD89.50 USD-1.06-14.869.2MOff
3 Jul 202647.65 USD-3.5%53.18 USD89.94 USD-1.01-13.139.6MOff
26 Jun 202649.39 USD-3.5%52.94 USD90.36 USD-1.00-8.838.8MOff
19 Jun 202651.16 USD-4.3%52.68 USD90.76 USD-0.99-8.405.1MOff
12 Jun 202653.48 USD4.8%52.24 USD91.11 USD-0.91-3.917.7MOn
5 Jun 202651.03 USD-4.0%51.76 USD91.47 USD-0.78-8.268.8MOn
29 May 202653.13 USD1.4%51.43 USD91.85 USD-0.35-7.455.7MOn
22 May 202652.39 USD-7.8%50.94 USD92.22 USD0.23-7.8810.3MOn
15 May 202656.80 USD-0.6%50.60 USD92.55 USD0.760.219.7MOn
8 May 202657.17 USD-17.4%50.04 USD92.85 USD1.200.7215.3MOn
1 May 202669.24 USD6.6%49.44 USD93.11 USD1.3624.427.9MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.