- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
MYR
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Myer Holdings Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores
Latest close
0.22 AUD
4.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -26.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 2.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.8%, after a -25.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
18
out of 100
Latest Close
0.22 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
-25.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-12.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.45% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move -25.4%.
Indicator stack
0/51
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.45%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -26.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 2.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.8%, after a -25.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0712-week average 0.03
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.07Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -25.4% over four weeks, -12.0% over 12 weeks, and -62.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.34Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-58.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-44.05Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-65.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Jul 2025
Field coverage 79%
Model confidence 44%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength47/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Value94/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Quality4/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Momentum2/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Growth87/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.1x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 35.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 10.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 46.3% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -13.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 6.3% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -12.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 14.0% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 13.0% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 2/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 6.8% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 6.8% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 28.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-66.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.0%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-16.0%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week+4.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains5
Flat weeks2
Modest losses3
Sharp losses10
Recent vol8.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.9% / -7.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank90 / 91
Group average3.9%
Trend breadth19.8%
Trend19.8%active weekly trend signals
MD71.4%positive activity pressure
RS25.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Department Stores
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average-12.7%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape20/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 20/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis24/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.07; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.45%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.45% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors36/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 59; Small Cap Core rank 13 Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.22 AUD | 4.8% | 0.30 AUD | 0.59 AUD | 0.34 | -44.05 | 33.7M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.21 AUD | -16.0% | 0.31 AUD | 0.60 AUD | 0.55 | -45.95 | 63.0M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.25 AUD | -5.7% | 0.31 AUD | 0.60 AUD | 0.64 | -35.39 | 22.1M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.27 AUD | -10.2% | 0.32 AUD | 0.60 AUD | 0.79 | -32.84 | 29.9M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.29 AUD | -1.7% | 0.33 AUD | 0.60 AUD | 0.81 | -26.56 | 27.2M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.30 AUD | -3.2% | 0.33 AUD | 0.60 AUD | 0.62 | -26.74 | 3.4M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.31 AUD | 6.9% | 0.33 AUD | 0.61 AUD | 0.42 | -24.70 | 8.6M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.29 AUD | 13.7% | 0.34 AUD | 0.61 AUD | 0.17 | -31.01 | 19.9M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.26 AUD | 6.3% | 0.34 AUD | 0.61 AUD | -0.10 | -39.99 | 5.7M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.24 AUD | 2.1% | 0.35 AUD | 0.61 AUD | -0.30 | -43.32 | 38.5M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.23 AUD | 2.2% | 0.35 AUD | 0.61 AUD | -0.43 | -46.20 | 64.1M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.23 AUD | -8.0% | 0.36 AUD | 0.61 AUD | -0.61 | -47.91 | 51.8M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.25 AUD | -9.1% | 0.36 AUD | 0.62 AUD | -0.71 | -44.50 | 31.7M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.28 AUD | 5.8% | 0.37 AUD | 0.62 AUD | -0.73 | -41.05 | 29.0M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.