- The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.42% based on similar historical setup states.
ANTO
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Antofagasta plc · Basic Materials · Copper
Latest close
3,981 GBP
8.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.9%, after a 5.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.
Setup score
59
out of 100
Latest Close
3,981 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
8.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
5.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
4.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
96.2%
50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 8 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
8.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 5.4%.
Indicator stack
56/31
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.42%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
52/100
23 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.9%, after a 5.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6112-week average 0.70
12-week confirmation
Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.61Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers88 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 8 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 5.4% over four weeks, 4.5% over 12 weeks, and 110.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.72Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-79.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership13.03Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-12.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 72%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength50/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
Value6/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality88/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Momentum99/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Growth97/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework42/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 29.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 4.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 9.1x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -1.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 49.9% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 39.5% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -7.1% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 17.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 30.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 60.2% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 8/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.2% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.
3 positive · 20 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.0%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-19.1%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+8.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.8% / -4.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Basic Materials
4-week rank48 / 100
Group average5.9%
Trend breadth26.0%
Trend26.0%active weekly trend signals
MD33.0%positive activity pressure
RS43.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Copper
4-week rank4 / 8
Group average1.5%
Trend breadth12.5%
Trend12.5%active weekly trend signals
MD25.0%positive activity pressure
RS37.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape58/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 58/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis51/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.61; 8 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.42%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.42% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors59/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 70 SVQF42/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 152.5 of 260 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.
How Is Antofagasta (LSE:ANTO) Navigating a Fast-Moving UK Stock-Market Theme? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 3,981 GBP | 8.9% | 3,737 GBP | 2,270 GBP | -0.72 | 13.03 | 5.2M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3,655 GBP | 0.7% | 3,713 GBP | 2,255 GBP | -0.88 | 5.07 | 5.7M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3,631 GBP | 4.0% | 3,699 GBP | 2,242 GBP | -0.82 | 6.40 | 5.4M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3,491 GBP | -7.6% | 3,683 GBP | 2,229 GBP | -0.68 | 4.43 | 6.1M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3,778 GBP | -2.3% | 3,664 GBP | 2,216 GBP | -0.40 | 14.96 | 3.9M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 3,868 GBP | 1.1% | 3,638 GBP | 2,201 GBP | -0.36 | 16.73 | 255.7K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3,825 GBP | -2.2% | 3,601 GBP | 2,186 GBP | -0.35 | 18.45 | 810.5K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3,912 GBP | -3.3% | 3,560 GBP | 2,171 GBP | -0.16 | 24.16 | 5.9M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4,044 GBP | 1.9% | 3,522 GBP | 2,156 GBP | -0.29 | 28.44 | 948.1K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3,970 GBP | -3.1% | 3,478 GBP | 2,139 GBP | -0.30 | 28.77 | 1.3M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 4,098 GBP | 4.2% | 3,439 GBP | 2,123 GBP | -0.30 | 33.96 | 10.3M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 3,931 GBP | 3.2% | 3,391 GBP | 2,106 GBP | -0.56 | 29.41 | 5.5M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 3,810 GBP | -2.4% | 3,349 GBP | 2,089 GBP | -0.68 | 30.19 | 5.6M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 3,904 GBP | 10.0% | 3,312 GBP | 2,074 GBP | -0.61 | 34.47 | 5.6M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.