CAML LSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Central Asia Metals plc · Basic Materials · Copper

Latest close 154.6 GBP
4.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 24.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.9%, after a 12.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 39 out of 100
Latest Close 154.6 GBP 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 4.9% latest completed week
4W Return 12.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 36.5% 19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 24.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.9%, after a 12.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1412-week average 0.07

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.14Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 12.4% over four weeks, 0.2% over 12 weeks, and -1.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.9%
4W12.4%
12W0.2%
26W-27.6%
52W-1.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year19
Trend breadth36.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.32Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change132.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.61Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change35.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 68%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength85/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Value97/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Quality86/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Momentum12/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Growth83/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework94/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
23.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
45.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
27.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
18.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
23.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
7.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-19.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
7.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
9.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.

0 positive · 17 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-36.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.6%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-26.4%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+4.9%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/17Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.2% / -5.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026154.6 GBP4.9%165.7 GBP171.6 GBP0.32-13.614.0MOff
31 Jul 2026147.4 GBP-0.1%166.8 GBP171.8 GBP0.02-17.692.7MOff
24 Jul 2026147.6 GBP6.6%168.1 GBP172.1 GBP-0.37-16.843.4MOff
17 Jul 2026138.4 GBP0.6%169.4 GBP172.3 GBP-0.73-21.303.7MOff
10 Jul 2026137.6 GBP5.0%170.7 GBP172.6 GBP-1.00-21.236.2MOff
3 Jul 2026131.0 GBP0.8%172.0 GBP172.9 GBP-1.27-26.54436.0KOff
26 Jun 2026130.0 GBP-2.7%173.3 GBP173.2 GBP-1.31-26.45722.6KOff
19 Jun 2026133.6 GBP-1.9%174.5 GBP173.5 GBP-1.24-23.881.1MOff
12 Jun 2026136.2 GBP2.6%175.3 GBP173.8 GBP-1.14-23.651.3MOff
5 Jun 2026132.8 GBP-14.5%176.2 GBP174.2 GBP-1.02-25.322.1MOff
29 May 2026155.3 GBP1.2%177.0 GBP174.6 GBP-0.96-13.563.5MOff
22 May 2026153.5 GBP-0.5%177.1 GBP174.9 GBP-0.85-15.363.3MOff
15 May 2026154.3 GBP0.1%177.1 GBP175.1 GBP-0.87-12.963.9MOff
8 May 2026154.1 GBP3.1%177.0 GBP175.4 GBP-0.89-13.632.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context