AII TOR Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Almonty Industries Inc. · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

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Latest close 15.54 CAD
-17.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -30.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 36.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -17.4%, after a -32.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.

Setup score 35 out of 100
Latest Close 15.54 CAD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -17.4% latest completed week
4W Return -32.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -42.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 96.2% 50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 39.48% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -17.4% Latest completed week; four-week move -32.8%. Indicator stack 53/35 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 39.48% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 51/100 18 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -30.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 36.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -17.4%, after a -32.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4312-week average 0.68

12-week confirmation

Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.43Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -32.8% over four weeks, -42.2% over 12 weeks, and 200.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-17.4%
4W-32.8%
12W-42.2%
26W0.9%
52W200.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.88Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change9.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.54Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-134.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 79% Model confidence 74%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength18/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Value15/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Quality7/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Momentum98/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Growth73/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
88.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-1.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
29.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-47.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-159.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-6.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
12.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-6.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-6.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.

2 positive · 16 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-53.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+29.6%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-17.7%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week-17.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses9
Recent vol9.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol12.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew10.7% / -8.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape40/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 40/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis56/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.43; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 39.48%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 39.48% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors31/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 88; Small Cap Core rank 91 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.

Is Almonty Industries' (TSX:AII) ASX Exit a Strategic Push to Deepen Nasdaq and Frankfurt Liquidity? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202615.54 CAD-17.4%22.37 CAD6.75 CAD-0.88-12.547.8MOff
24 Jul 202618.81 CAD-2.3%22.26 CAD6.65 CAD-0.946.442.9MOff
17 Jul 202619.25 CAD-17.7%22.06 CAD6.54 CAD-0.9510.693.7MOn
10 Jul 202623.38 CAD1.0%21.81 CAD6.42 CAD-0.8835.983.3MOn
3 Jul 202623.14 CAD0.6%21.34 CAD6.28 CAD-0.9836.82139.5KOn
26 Jun 202623.00 CAD-13.8%20.91 CAD6.13 CAD-0.9839.26519.5KOn
19 Jun 202626.67 CAD7.8%20.45 CAD5.99 CAD-0.7664.332.2MOn
12 Jun 202624.75 CAD9.0%19.83 CAD5.83 CAD-0.7156.42503.2KOn
5 Jun 202622.70 CAD-17.0%19.31 CAD5.67 CAD-0.5749.001.2MOn
29 May 202627.34 CAD6.0%18.88 CAD5.53 CAD-0.2581.434.2MOn
22 May 202625.80 CAD7.4%18.30 CAD5.36 CAD-0.0477.721.8MOn
15 May 202624.02 CAD-10.6%17.77 CAD5.20 CAD0.3573.413.5MOn
8 May 202626.88 CAD-3.9%17.35 CAD5.06 CAD0.7997.983.1MOn
1 May 202627.97 CAD-6.6%16.82 CAD4.89 CAD0.86113.792.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context