ITC NSI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

ITC Limited · Consumer Defensive · Tobacco

Latest close 286.1 INR
1.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 1.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 35 out of 100
Latest Close 286.1 INR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 1.8% latest completed week
4W Return 1.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -5.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 1.9% 1 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 1.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0212-week average 0.04

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.02Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 1.5% over four weeks, -5.0% over 12 weeks, and -27.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.8%
4W1.5%
12W-5.0%
26W-9.8%
52W-27.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year1
Trend breadth1.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.37Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change11.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.10Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change14.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength76/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Value71/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Quality91/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Momentum11/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Growth10/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework85/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
17.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
12.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
58.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
32.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
20.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
26.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
4.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-40.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
6.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
5.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.

0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-29.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+4.4%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-4.1%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+1.8%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses16
Sharp losses1
Recent vol1.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/33Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.9% / -2.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026286.1 INR1.8%295.4 INR375.7 INR0.37-13.1088.4MOff
31 Jul 2026281.0 INR-0.9%296.6 INR376.4 INR0.33-14.5588.3MOff
24 Jul 2026283.5 INR1.0%298.3 INR377.1 INR0.30-12.1578.9MOff
17 Jul 2026280.7 INR-0.4%301.7 INR377.8 INR0.26-15.4962.5MOff
10 Jul 2026281.8 INR-2.8%305.1 INR378.7 INR0.33-15.2791.5MOff
3 Jul 2026290.0 INR-0.0%308.4 INR379.5 INR0.19-13.546.5MOff
26 Jun 2026290.0 INR-0.9%311.7 INR380.3 INR0.02-13.180Off
19 Jun 2026292.5 INR2.6%314.8 INR380.9 INR0.02-12.7013.9MOff
12 Jun 2026285.1 INR1.6%318.0 INR381.5 INR0.06-13.9412.9MOff
5 Jun 2026280.7 INR-2.2%321.5 INR382.1 INR0.15-14.8016.1MOff
29 May 2026286.9 INR-2.3%325.0 INR382.7 INR0.38-14.06110.7MOff
22 May 2026293.7 INR-2.5%328.8 INR383.3 INR0.41-13.1296.7MOff
15 May 2026301.2 INR0.7%332.3 INR383.8 INR0.34-11.0967.0MOff
8 May 2026299.3 INR-2.4%335.3 INR384.2 INR0.31-14.02110.8MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context