- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
ERD
TOR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Erdene Resource Development Corporation · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Latest close
6.28 CAD
16.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 16.7%, after a 20.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
39
out of 100
Latest Close
6.28 CAD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
16.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
20.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
2.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
57.7%
30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.3x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
16.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 20.3%.
Indicator stack
32/50
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
11 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 16.7%, after a 20.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0812-week average 0.06
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.08Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 20.3% over four weeks, 2.1% over 12 weeks, and 11.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.28Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change68.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-22.79Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change35.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 61%
Model confidence 57%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength76/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Value61/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Quality62/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 39; rank 1 is best.
Momentum63/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Growth63/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -2.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -9.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 1/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 45.7x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.
0 positive · 11 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-42.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-20.8%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+16.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains10
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses9
Recent vol8.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.5% / -6.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average13.1%
Trend breadth19.0%
Trend19.0%active weekly trend signals
MD17.0%positive activity pressure
RS51.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Other Industrial Metals & Mining
4-week rank4 / 55
Group average3.6%
Trend breadth10.9%
Trend10.9%active weekly trend signals
MD16.4%positive activity pressure
RS27.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape30/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis10/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.08; No reversal markers Factors65/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 43; Small Cap Core rank 43 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.
Why Erdene Resource Development Corp stock is sliding today Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 6.28 CAD | 16.7% | 6.59 CAD | 4.57 CAD | -0.28 | -22.79 | 360.4K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 5.38 CAD | -2.0% | 6.67 CAD | 4.55 CAD | -0.72 | -31.87 | 138.1K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5.49 CAD | 14.6% | 6.75 CAD | 4.53 CAD | -0.78 | -31.12 | 393.5K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4.79 CAD | -8.2% | 6.86 CAD | 4.51 CAD | -0.84 | -39.99 | 229.4K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 5.22 CAD | -7.1% | 6.95 CAD | 4.49 CAD | -0.88 | -35.06 | 261.2K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5.62 CAD | 5.8% | 7.03 CAD | 4.47 CAD | -1.02 | -30.30 | 20.0K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5.31 CAD | 3.1% | 7.09 CAD | 4.45 CAD | -1.22 | -33.95 | 95.2K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 5.15 CAD | -4.6% | 7.16 CAD | 4.43 CAD | -1.29 | -36.17 | 109.3K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 5.40 CAD | -2.4% | 7.22 CAD | 4.41 CAD | -1.25 | -33.31 | 80.8K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 5.53 CAD | -12.5% | 7.29 CAD | 4.39 CAD | -1.09 | -31.04 | 225.6K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 6.32 CAD | 2.6% | 7.35 CAD | 4.37 CAD | -0.99 | -22.43 | 228.2K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 6.16 CAD | 0.2% | 7.41 CAD | 4.34 CAD | -1.11 | -24.08 | 481.3K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 6.15 CAD | -1.3% | 7.50 CAD | 4.32 CAD | -1.16 | -22.98 | 865.7K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 6.23 CAD | 4.7% | 7.61 CAD | 4.29 CAD | -1.12 | -22.74 | 717.6K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.