HD MEX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

The Home Depot, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Home Improvement Retail

Latest close 6,068 MXN
5.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 36.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.3%, after a 1.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 63/100.

Setup score 44 out of 100
Latest Close 6,068 MXN 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 5.3% latest completed week
4W Return 1.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 17.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 11.5% 6 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.58% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 36.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.3%, after a 1.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2812-week average 0.22

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.28Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 1.2% over four weeks, 17.2% over 12 weeks, and -15.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.3%
4W1.2%
12W17.2%
26W-8.6%
52W-15.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year6
Trend breadth11.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.60Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-26.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.76Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change26.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment63/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 55 relevant articles.

12 positive · 40 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-22.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.0%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-6.1%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+5.3%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.6% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryMX Home Improvement Retail
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average-3.5%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20266,068 MXN5.3%5,997 MXN6,616 MXN0.60-7.76556Off
31 Jul 20265,760 MXN1.2%6,008 MXN6,613 MXN0.59-13.00680Off
24 Jul 20265,694 MXN-4.8%6,021 MXN6,611 MXN0.70-13.9269Off
17 Jul 20265,980 MXN-0.3%6,040 MXN6,610 MXN0.88-10.5526Off
10 Jul 20265,998 MXN-3.3%6,048 MXN6,606 MXN0.81-10.61217Off
3 Jul 20266,204 MXN1.9%6,063 MXN6,602 MXN0.53-8.860Off
26 Jun 20266,089 MXN4.4%6,070 MXN6,595 MXN0.01-11.22415Off
19 Jun 20265,830 MXN3.1%6,084 MXN6,590 MXN-0.47-16.080Off
12 Jun 20265,652 MXN6.0%6,095 MXN6,586 MXN-0.84-19.44112Off
5 Jun 20265,333 MXN-3.7%6,129 MXN6,583 MXN-1.06-22.390Off
29 May 20265,538 MXN2.5%6,180 MXN6,581 MXN-1.09-22.86643Off
22 May 20265,402 MXN4.3%6,231 MXN6,579 MXN-1.14-25.062.0KOff
15 May 20265,178 MXN-5.1%6,289 MXN6,577 MXN-1.15-28.321.9KOff
8 May 20265,458 MXN-5.0%6,357 MXN6,577 MXN-0.90-27.14483Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context