LSE Equity Snapshot

NWG Weekly Equity Report

NatWest Group plc

Latest Close 614.2 GBP 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 3.4% latest completed week
4W Return 9.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 18.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 73.1% 38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
Sharemaestro Evidence Rating

Neutral

A cross-signal market read combining weekly price structure, proprietary indicators, factors, Patient Capital, options, sentiment, insider activity, earnings risk, research flow, and sector context.

Evidence Score 57 Neutral

Top-level conclusion

The strongest supporting evidence is factors: O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

The main constraint is weekly tape: Trend, Market Dynamics, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.

The combined read is balanced, making the next change in trend, sentiment, or options pressure especially important.

Primary driver

Factors 80/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Main constraint

Weekly tape 45/100

Trend, Market Dynamics, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.

Company Brief

What the company does

NatWest Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services in the United Kingdom and internationally. It operates through the Retail Banking, Private Banking, and Commercial & Institutional segments. The Retail Banking segment offers a range of banking products and related financial services, such as current accounts, mortgages, personal unsecured lending, and personal deposits, as well as mobile and online banking services. Its Private Banking segment provides banking, lending, and wealth management products for high-net-worth individuals and their business interests. The Commercial & Institutional segment consists of customer businesses under business …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

NWG closed the latest completed week at 614.2 GBP. The 4-week return is 9.4% and the 12-week return is 18.2%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.04. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 54/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 1.5%
Volume 0.6x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 40 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 88 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 57 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 59 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 26 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 53 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price zone

Close Trend Fair
470.7 GBP 61.2% 705.1 GBP
Range location 61.2% Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.
Trend distance 1.5% Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.
Fair-value gap 51.0% Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.
High-water gap -12.9% Distance from the latest 52-week high.
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 3.4%
4W 9.4%
12W 18.2%
26W 0.4%
52W 19.7%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
38
52W Active Breadth
73.1%
Sector Scope
GB Financial Services
Sector Rank
41 of 209
Sector Percentile
80.8%
41 of 209
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Pressure map

Market Dynamics
Relative Strength
Pressure -0.04 Latest Market Dynamics read.
Pressure change 94.2% Four-week change in Market Dynamics.
Leadership 0.16 Latest Relative Strength reading.
RS change 102.6% Four-week change in Relative Strength.
Expectation Positive 60.31% probability read.
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

Volume and return confirmation

Participation read

Participation 0.6x Latest volume versus the 13-week average.
Baseline 137.0M 13-week average volume.
One-year base 119.3M 52-week average volume.
Latest 83.2M Most recent completed week.
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Return shape

Strong gains 5
Modest gains 10
Flat weeks 0
Modest losses 7
Sharp losses 4
Recent vol 4.6% 13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol 4.3% 52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split 30/22 Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew 3.4% / -3.5% Average positive week versus average negative week.
Cross-App Evidence

Value, flow, sentiment, events, and research context

These cards convert the rest of Sharemaestro into a compact evidence trail, with direct drilldowns for deeper research.

Options and sentiment

Options
-
Expected Move
-
Sentiment
-
Articles
-

Earnings, insiders, and research flow

Earnings
-
Insiders
-
News
0 articles
Market Watch
0 posts

Latest Sharemaestro research

  • No recent research articles are stored for this ticker.

Latest Market Watch posts

  • No recent Market Watch posts are stored for this ticker.
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
LSE
Country
GB
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Banks - Regional
Currency
GBP
Market Cap
47.7B

Opportunity signals

  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 614.2 GBP 3.4% 605.4 GBP 406.8 GBP -0.04 0.16 83.2M Off
5 Jun 2026 593.8 GBP -0.9% 604.9 GBP 404.4 GBP -0.27 -2.17 82.9M Off
29 May 2026 599.4 GBP 2.6% 605.1 GBP 402.3 GBP -0.41 -1.72 91.0M Off
22 May 2026 584.2 GBP 4.1% 604.5 GBP 400.2 GBP -0.52 -4.80 134.9M Off
15 May 2026 561.2 GBP -3.2% 604.1 GBP 398.1 GBP -0.69 -6.25 158.7M Off
8 May 2026 579.8 GBP 2.5% 603.2 GBP 396.3 GBP -0.63 -3.60 120.8M Off
1 May 2026 565.6 GBP -2.4% 601.9 GBP 394.2 GBP -0.64 -7.17 164.8M Off
24 Apr 2026 579.4 GBP -7.4% 601.3 GBP 392.2 GBP -0.68 -5.09 82.3M Off
17 Apr 2026 626.0 GBP 1.9% 599.3 GBP 390.2 GBP -0.67 -0.25 119.0M Off
10 Apr 2026 614.4 GBP 6.8% 595.5 GBP 387.9 GBP -0.77 -1.37 92.1M Off
3 Apr 2026 575.4 GBP 6.6% 592.7 GBP 385.8 GBP -0.87 -6.06 171.0M Off
27 Mar 2026 539.8 GBP 3.9% 590.4 GBP 383.8 GBP -1.04 -7.61 259.3M Off
20 Mar 2026 519.6 GBP -8.0% 589.4 GBP 382.0 GBP -0.97 -10.59 220.7M Off
13 Mar 2026 565.0 GBP -1.8% 590.8 GBP 380.3 GBP -0.91 -6.05 92.0M Off