What the company does
BAE Systems plc provides defense, aerospace, and security solutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, the Middle East, Australia, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Electronic Systems, Platforms & Services, Air, Maritime, and Cyber & Intelligence. The Electronic Systems segment offers electronic warfare systems, navigation systems, electro-optical sensors, military and commercial avionics, and precision guided solutions and communications systems, as well as space electronics, spacecraft, and ground and tactical systems. The Platforms & Services segment manufactures and sells combat vehicles, weapons, and munitions; and offers naval ship …
What the weekly tape is saying
BA closed the latest completed week at 1,911 GBP. The 4-week return is 3.3% and the 12-week return is -15.1%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.98. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 35/100 composite read.
A compressed read of the whole setup
The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.
Scoreboard
16-week signal tape
Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value
Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.
52-week price path
Price map
- Trend Line
- 1,982 GBP
- Vs Trend Line
- -3.6%
- Fair Value
- 1,492 GBP
- Vs Fair Value
- 28.1%
- 52W High
- 2,360 GBP
- 52W Low
- 1,588 GBP
- Drawdown
- -19.0%
- Range Position
- 41.9%
Returns and trend persistence
Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.
Return windows
Trend read
- Active Streak
- 0 weeks
- 52W Active Weeks
- 35
- 52W Active Breadth
- 67.3%
- Sector Scope
- GB Industrials
- Sector Rank
- 105 of 169
- Sector Percentile
- 38.1%
Sector and industry pulse
Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.
GB Industrials
- Tracked Peers
- 100
- 4W Rank
- 46 of 100
- Avg 1W
- -0.2%
- Avg 4W
- 3.4%
- Trend Breadth
- 42.0%
- Positive MD
- 55.0%
GB Aerospace & Defense
- Tracked Peers
- 9
- 4W Rank
- 8 of 9
- Avg 1W
- 3.7%
- Avg 4W
- 14.1%
- Trend Breadth
- 44.4%
- Positive RS
- 33.3%
Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation
Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.
Dynamics path
Signal state
- Market Dynamics
- -0.98
- 4W MD Change
- -27.4%
- Relative Strength
- -7.56
- 4W RS Change
- 16.5%
- Expectation
- Positive
- Probability
- 57.99%
Participation and confirmation
Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.
52-week volume profile
Volume map
- Latest Volume
- 27.1M
- 13W Average
- 31.4M
- 52W Average
- 30.4M
- Vs 13W
- 0.9x
- Vs 52W
- 0.9x
Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape
A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.
26-week return distribution
Risk map
- 13W Volatility
- 5.7%
- 52W Volatility
- 5.0%
- Upside Weeks
- 26
- Downside Weeks
- 25
- Downside Breadth
- 48.1%
- Avg Gain / Loss
- 3.8% / -3.7%
Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points
Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.
Classification
- Exchange
- LSE
- Country
- GB
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Aerospace & Defense
- Currency
- GBP
- Market Cap
- 59.4B
Opportunity signals
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Risk signals
- Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
Watch next
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Recent completed weeks
The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend | Fair Value | MD | RS | Volume | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1,911 GBP | -1.0% | 1,982 GBP | 1,492 GBP | -0.98 | -7.56 | 27.1M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1,930 GBP | -4.6% | 1,979 GBP | 1,486 GBP | -0.97 | -6.02 | 19.8M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 2,023 GBP | 1.5% | 1,974 GBP | 1,480 GBP | -0.96 | -2.21 | 28.6M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1,994 GBP | 7.7% | 1,969 GBP | 1,473 GBP | -0.88 | -4.37 | 23.7M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1,850 GBP | -4.4% | 1,965 GBP | 1,466 GBP | -0.77 | -9.05 | 30.1M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 1,935 GBP | -4.9% | 1,964 GBP | 1,460 GBP | -0.35 | -5.46 | 24.1M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 2,034 GBP | 0.7% | 1,966 GBP | 1,454 GBP | -0.01 | -1.92 | 33.8M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 2,020 GBP | -10.4% | 1,967 GBP | 1,448 GBP | 0.38 | -2.83 | 32.5M | On |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 2,255 GBP | 2.8% | 1,966 GBP | 1,441 GBP | 0.66 | 5.47 | 39.5M | On |
| 10 Apr 2026 | 2,194 GBP | -4.2% | 1,956 GBP | 1,433 GBP | 0.81 | 3.29 | 26.5M | On |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 2,289 GBP | 10.7% | 1,949 GBP | 1,426 GBP | 1.05 | 9.44 | 36.3M | On |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 2,067 GBP | -8.1% | 1,932 GBP | 1,417 GBP | 1.14 | 3.78 | 42.5M | On |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 2,250 GBP | -2.5% | 1,922 GBP | 1,410 GBP | 1.24 | 13.83 | 43.6M | On |
| 13 Mar 2026 | 2,307 GBP | 4.2% | 1,905 GBP | 1,402 GBP | 1.22 | 13.27 | 34.1M | On |