LSE Equity Snapshot

BA Weekly Equity Report

BAE Systems plc

Latest Close 1,911 GBP 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -1.0% latest completed week
4W Return 3.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -15.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 67.3% 35 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

BAE Systems plc provides defense, aerospace, and security solutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, the Middle East, Australia, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Electronic Systems, Platforms & Services, Air, Maritime, and Cyber & Intelligence. The Electronic Systems segment offers electronic warfare systems, navigation systems, electro-optical sensors, military and commercial avionics, and precision guided solutions and communications systems, as well as space electronics, spacecraft, and ground and tactical systems. The Platforms & Services segment manufactures and sells combat vehicles, weapons, and munitions; and offers naval ship …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

BA closed the latest completed week at 1,911 GBP. The 4-week return is 3.3% and the 12-week return is -15.1%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.98. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 35/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -3.6%
Volume 0.9x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 37 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 44 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 30 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 29 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 36 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 35 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
1,982 GBP
Vs Trend Line
-3.6%
Fair Value
1,492 GBP
Vs Fair Value
28.1%
52W High
2,360 GBP
52W Low
1,588 GBP
Drawdown
-19.0%
Range Position
41.9%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -1.0%
4W 3.3%
12W -15.1%
26W 12.4%
52W -1.4%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
35
52W Active Breadth
67.3%
Sector Scope
GB Industrials
Sector Rank
105 of 169
Sector Percentile
38.1%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.98
4W MD Change
-27.4%
Relative Strength
-7.56
4W RS Change
16.5%
Expectation
Positive
Probability
57.99%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
27.1M
13W Average
31.4M
52W Average
30.4M
Vs 13W
0.9x
Vs 52W
0.9x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
5.7%
52W Volatility
5.0%
Upside Weeks
26
Downside Weeks
25
Downside Breadth
48.1%
Avg Gain / Loss
3.8% / -3.7%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
LSE
Country
GB
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Aerospace & Defense
Currency
GBP
Market Cap
59.4B

Opportunity signals

  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 1,911 GBP -1.0% 1,982 GBP 1,492 GBP -0.98 -7.56 27.1M Off
5 Jun 2026 1,930 GBP -4.6% 1,979 GBP 1,486 GBP -0.97 -6.02 19.8M Off
29 May 2026 2,023 GBP 1.5% 1,974 GBP 1,480 GBP -0.96 -2.21 28.6M Off
22 May 2026 1,994 GBP 7.7% 1,969 GBP 1,473 GBP -0.88 -4.37 23.7M Off
15 May 2026 1,850 GBP -4.4% 1,965 GBP 1,466 GBP -0.77 -9.05 30.1M Off
8 May 2026 1,935 GBP -4.9% 1,964 GBP 1,460 GBP -0.35 -5.46 24.1M On
1 May 2026 2,034 GBP 0.7% 1,966 GBP 1,454 GBP -0.01 -1.92 33.8M On
24 Apr 2026 2,020 GBP -10.4% 1,967 GBP 1,448 GBP 0.38 -2.83 32.5M On
17 Apr 2026 2,255 GBP 2.8% 1,966 GBP 1,441 GBP 0.66 5.47 39.5M On
10 Apr 2026 2,194 GBP -4.2% 1,956 GBP 1,433 GBP 0.81 3.29 26.5M On
3 Apr 2026 2,289 GBP 10.7% 1,949 GBP 1,426 GBP 1.05 9.44 36.3M On
27 Mar 2026 2,067 GBP -8.1% 1,932 GBP 1,417 GBP 1.14 3.78 42.5M On
20 Mar 2026 2,250 GBP -2.5% 1,922 GBP 1,410 GBP 1.24 13.83 43.6M On
13 Mar 2026 2,307 GBP 4.2% 1,905 GBP 1,402 GBP 1.22 13.27 34.1M On