- The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
CHG
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Chemring Group PLC · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Latest close
627.0 GBP
6.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.2%, after a 16.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
69
out of 100
Latest Close
627.0 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
6.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
16.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
35.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
48.1%
25 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.7x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- 10 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
6.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move 16.7%.
Indicator stack
47/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
55/100
21 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.2%, after a 16.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4212-week average 0.35
12-week confirmation
Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.42Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1010 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 10 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 16.7% over four weeks, 35.0% over 12 weeks, and 17.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year25
Trend breadth48.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.22Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change526.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership9.08Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change353.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026
Field coverage 88%
Model confidence 86%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength12/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Value3/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Quality13/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Momentum82/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Growth17/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework15/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 35.2x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 3.4x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 18.4x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -0.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 14.8% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -2.3% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 10.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 1.9% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 22.0% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -184.8% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.3% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.3% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.
5 positive · 16 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.1%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-8.9%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+6.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses6
Recent vol8.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.3% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Industrials
4-week rank23 / 100
Group average9.1%
Trend breadth46.0%
Trend46.0%active weekly trend signals
MD65.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Aerospace & Defense
4-week rank3 / 9
Group average8.8%
Trend breadth44.4%
Trend44.4%active weekly trend signals
MD77.8%positive activity pressure
RS55.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape64/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 64/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis42/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 4/12.
Activity pressure 0.42; 10 reversal markers Factors24/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 39; Small Cap Core rank 97 SVQF15/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 221.5 of 260 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.
Chemring Group PLC (CHG.L) Stock Analysis: A Steady Player in Aerospace & Defense with Growth Potential Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 627.0 GBP | 6.2% | 530.3 GBP | 426.4 GBP | 1.22 | 9.08 | 6.4M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 590.5 GBP | -1.0% | 527.4 GBP | 424.3 GBP | 0.89 | 3.00 | 4.1M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 596.5 GBP | 7.1% | 523.5 GBP | 422.4 GBP | 0.68 | 5.14 | 9.9M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 557.0 GBP | 3.6% | 519.4 GBP | 420.5 GBP | 0.04 | -0.71 | 2.8M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 537.5 GBP | -6.9% | 516.3 GBP | 418.7 GBP | -0.28 | -3.59 | 5.1M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 577.5 GBP | 20.1% | 514.2 GBP | 417.1 GBP | -0.47 | 1.41 | 810.2K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 481.0 GBP | -3.8% | 510.9 GBP | 415.2 GBP | -0.80 | -14.45 | 1.3M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 500.0 GBP | -4.8% | 510.9 GBP | 414.0 GBP | -0.54 | -10.39 | 2.6M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 525.0 GBP | 5.0% | 510.6 GBP | 412.6 GBP | -0.48 | -7.41 | 1.5M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 500.0 GBP | -8.9% | 510.3 GBP | 411.1 GBP | -0.55 | -11.41 | 746.6K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 549.0 GBP | 4.3% | 511.7 GBP | 409.8 GBP | -0.43 | -3.72 | 4.2M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 526.5 GBP | 13.3% | 512.5 GBP | 408.0 GBP | -0.40 | -8.24 | 3.6M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 464.6 GBP | -3.3% | 514.1 GBP | 406.3 GBP | -0.12 | -16.90 | 7.1M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 480.6 GBP | -7.8% | 516.3 GBP | 405.1 GBP | 0.20 | -14.47 | 6.5M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.