- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
KEFI
LSE
Week ended 02 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
KEFI Gold and Copper Plc · Basic Materials · Gold
Latest close
0.00654 GBP
-3.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -42.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 4.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.1%, after a -44.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
23
out of 100
Latest Close
0.00654 GBP
2 Oct 2026
1W Return
-3.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
-44.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-35.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
46.2%
24 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-3.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move -44.5%.
Indicator stack
25/26
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -42.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 4.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.1%, after a -44.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1512-week average 0.09
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.15Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -44.5% over four weeks, -35.9% over 12 weeks, and -50.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year24
Trend breadth46.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.46Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-198.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-50.26Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-220.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 02 Oct 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 61%
Model confidence 43%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength51/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Value50/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
Quality51/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Momentum51/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Growth51/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -10.9% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 1/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- - Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- - Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
0 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-68.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility14.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
31 Jul
28 Aug
2 Oct
Weeks higher8 of 2618 weeks finished lower.
Best week+25.3%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-43.4%Week of 11 Sep.
Latest week-3.1%Week of 2 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses9
Recent vol14.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol12.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.3% / -7.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Basic Materials
4-week rank100 / 100
Group average-2.3%
Trend breadth41.0%
Trend41.0%active weekly trend signals
MD65.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Gold
4-week rank29 / 29
Group average-6.6%
Trend breadth24.1%
Trend24.1%active weekly trend signals
MD65.5%positive activity pressure
RS34.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape26/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 26/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis18/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.15; No reversal markers Factors50/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 50 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
KEFI Gold and Copper Plc (KEFI.L) Stock Price, News, Quote & History Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 0.00654 GBP | -3.1% | 0.0114 GBP | 0.008328 GBP | -0.46 | -50.26 | 484.2M | Off |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 0.00675 GBP | -12.7% | 0.0117 GBP | 0.008326 GBP | -0.12 | -50.37 | 916.4M | Off |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 0.00773 GBP | 15.9% | 0.0121 GBP | 0.008325 GBP | 0.14 | -43.31 | 743.3M | Off |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 0.00667 GBP | -43.4% | 0.0125 GBP | 0.008319 GBP | 0.37 | -51.26 | 1.6B | Off |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 0.0118 GBP | -3.8% | 0.0129 GBP | 0.008321 GBP | 0.47 | -15.68 | 150.3M | Off |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 0.0122 GBP | -3.6% | 0.013 GBP | 0.008285 GBP | 0.36 | -11.99 | 37.9M | Off |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 0.0127 GBP | 4.8% | 0.013 GBP | 0.008241 GBP | -0.14 | -8.19 | 74.5M | Off |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 0.0121 GBP | -4.0% | 0.0131 GBP | 0.008198 GBP | -0.68 | -11.15 | 46.4M | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.0126 GBP | 17.9% | 0.0131 GBP | 0.008156 GBP | -1.12 | -8.09 | 69.0M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.0107 GBP | 5.5% | 0.0131 GBP | 0.008114 GBP | -1.45 | -21.17 | 50.0M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.0101 GBP | 0.4% | 0.0131 GBP | 0.008087 GBP | -1.39 | -23.92 | 57.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.0101 GBP | -1.0% | 0.0132 GBP | 0.00806 GBP | -1.30 | -22.86 | 37.2M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.0102 GBP | -2.3% | 0.0134 GBP | 0.008031 GBP | -1.30 | -20.93 | 30.9M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.0104 GBP | -0.4% | 0.0135 GBP | 0.008001 GBP | -1.36 | -19.97 | 45.3M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.