Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
CURRENCIES ยท Currency ยท United States
NZD/CAD
CurrenciesForeign Exchange
Last updated
21 Aug 2026
Exchange
Currencies ยท CURRENCIES
Sector
Currencies
Industry
Foreign Exchange
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
Not available
Fair value reference
0.82
Next-week expectancy
Negative ยท 33.39%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, NZD/CAD rose 0.58%, moving from 0.82 to 0.82. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 1.75 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 1.00 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is negative at 33.39% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
0.82
12-Week Change
0.58%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 33.39%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
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Weekly Price
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Chart Panels
Choose up to 5 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationAdvancing structure with positive but contained
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range. Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Full context ยท Developing
Current structureAdvancing structure
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range.
Trend relationshipAbove a rising trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Support and resistanceSupport 0.82 ยท Resistance 0.82
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
The positive weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceActivity proxyTypical activity proxyPublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move+0.64%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterPositive but contained
Price advanced, although the close did not fully control the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedUpper part of the range
The close finished at 66% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityDeveloping
The path is readable, but the completed evidence is not yet consistently aligned.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above a rising trend; participation is strong positive participation, and path quality is developing.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history29% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-11.7%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+5.8%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical1.0ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
Latest week
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
7 weeks ago
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
12 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
17 weeks ago
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
39 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateInside accepted value
52-week position
80.6%
Low to high
Accepted price
0.82
Latest versus accepted: 0.02%
Fitted direction
Sideways
0.03% per week
Range pressure
68/100
Upper pressure
Range condition
Normal
0.96ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support0.79
From price
-3.4%
Evidence
73/100
Touches
9
Support0.82
From price
-0.4%
Evidence
95/100
Touches
18
Resistance0.83
From price
1.2%
Evidence
60/100
Touches
9
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionInside accepted value
Price is at 80.6% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionSideways
The fitted centre line is moving +0.03% per week.
Range pressureUpper pressure
The current pressure reading is 68/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level0.83
Resistance is 1.2% from the latest close with 60/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readUnderlying support is constructive and strengthening
The visible Smart Money evidence is aligned and its completed-week momentum path is improving.
Momentum 0.49 ยท Improving
Trend qualityConstructive
The current trend state has persisted for 16 completed weeks; visible confirmation is constructive.
Momentum pathBalanced ยท Improving
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsWarning
A demand warning appeared this week; watch whether support stabilises or weakens further.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
A demand warning appeared this week; watch whether support stabilises or weakens further.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
Latest week
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
1 week ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
2 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
3 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
4 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readMarket pressure is rebuilding from a balanced position
Price pressure is close to its central market position. Positive pressure is becoming more forceful across the recent completed path.
+0.30% ยท Balanced ยท Strengthening
Market positionBalanced
Price pressure is close to its central market position.
Pressure directionStrengthening
Positive pressure is becoming more forceful across the recent completed path.
Trend qualityUnstable
The recent path has changed direction frequently, reducing confidence in persistence.
Risks and warningsTransition risk
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
There is limited positive pressure; the reading needs improvement before it offers dependable support.
What would improve it
Continued positive pressure with an orderly completed path would strengthen confirmation.
What could weaken it
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
What to watch next
The latest path is strengthening with unstable trend quality. Comparable history is mixed follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionUpper 18% of history
The latest reading is stronger than 82% of completed observations.
State persistence8 completed weeks
The current balanced state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyMixed follow-through
Across 96 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 42% of the time; the typical move was -0.4%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
Latest week
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
1 week ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
3 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
4 weeks ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
5 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
11 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlBuyer control developing
Price is above the core VWAP, which is broadly flat. 95% of recent weighted activity has been accepted above it.
63/100 pressure
ControlBuyer control developing
Pressure 63/100 and +4.5 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack6 of 6 below price
4 references converge near 0.81: High-activity anchor, Year VWAP, 26-week VWAP, 52-week VWAP.
Acceptance95% above
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Core direction+0.0% / week
Four-week direction; change in pace -0.2 pts.
Stretch1.1 normal ranges above
Price is +1.4% from the core VWAP.
Persistence7 completed weeks
Price has remained above the core VWAP.
Price, VWAP structure and control transfers
Where control changed
156 completed weeks ยท Reported weekly volume
Weekly close13-week VWAP26-week VWAP52-week VWAPHigh-activity anchorNormal VWAP rangePositive transferNegative transfer
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 ยท contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Buyer control developing
Buyer control developing
The current position, VWAP direction and completed acceptance evidence broadly agree.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
4 references converge near 0.81: High-activity anchor, Year VWAP, 26-week VWAP, 52-week VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
ConfirmationPressure above 60
Pressure holding above 60 while the VWAP stack rises would strengthen the existing buyer-control evidence.
Decision area0.82
Swing high at 0.82, 0.1% below the latest close.
Weakening level0.82
A completed close below Swing high with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
Swing high0.82
-0.14% from close
13-week VWAP0.82
-0.38% from close
High-activity anchor0.81
-1.18% from close
Year VWAP0.81
-1.34% from close
26-week VWAP0.81
-1.34% from close
52-week VWAP0.81
-1.52% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 93%Above price 7%
32%near price
Most recent weighted activity is below price, leaving a larger estimated cushion beneath the market.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท DX-Y.NYBStronger control than reference
Stronger control than reference; control-score gap +11.0 points.
Control is contested ยท 52/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim36% favourable
Events
11
Median 4w
+0.06%
Median 13w
-0.75%
Typical best
+0.88%
Typical worst
-2.03%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss46% favourable
Events
11
Median 4w
+0.17%
Median 13w
+0.41%
Typical best
+1.65%
Typical worst
-1.53%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states41 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
24%
Median 4w
-0.94%
Positive after 13w
37%
Median 13w
-1.14%
Best / worst 13w
+2.4% / -5.0%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Buyer pressure established
The completed control reading moved into positive territory.
Buyer pressure established
The completed control reading moved into positive territory.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support is constructive and strengthening
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.70 ยท Constructive
Current stateConstructive ยท 0.70
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionImproving
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceDeveloping
6 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.70 ยท Constructive
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a cautious historical bias
Across 37 comparable completed observations, 27.0% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was -1.5%.
Comparable observations
37
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
27.0%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
-1.5%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
-19.9 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
0.82
12-Week Change
0.58%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 33.39%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
1.75
Market Dynamics
1.00
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, NZD/CAD rose 0.58%, moving from 0.82 to 0.82. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 1.75 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 1.00 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is negative at 33.39% based on similar historical setup states.
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