HMSB GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB (publ) · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Latest close 16.36 EUR
2.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a 8.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 79 out of 100
Latest Close 16.36 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 2.4% latest completed week
4W Return 8.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 11.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 98.1% 51 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 14-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a 8.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9012-week average 0.71

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.90Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 8.6% over four weeks, 11.7% over 12 weeks, and 119.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 14 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.4%
4W8.6%
12W11.7%
26W21.4%
52W119.1%
Active trend streak14 weeks
Active weeks in one year51
Trend breadth98.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.54Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change37.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership21.68Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-6.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 May 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength100/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Value100/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Quality95/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Momentum95/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Growth25/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework96/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
2.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
1.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
36.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
54.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
8.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
10.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
19.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-2.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
4.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
0.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
5.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
9.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+30.6%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-7.4%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.6% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryDE Apparel Manufacturing
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average4.3%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202616.36 EUR2.4%13.90 EUR7.45 EUR0.5421.683.4KOn
31 Jul 202615.97 EUR7.4%13.78 EUR7.37 EUR0.3523.432.2KOn
24 Jul 202614.87 EUR-0.9%13.68 EUR7.28 EUR0.2718.81682On
17 Jul 202614.99 EUR-0.4%13.62 EUR7.21 EUR0.3522.42489On
10 Jul 202615.06 EUR-0.3%13.55 EUR7.13 EUR0.3923.22612On
3 Jul 202615.11 EUR0.8%13.47 EUR7.05 EUR0.4821.611.1KOn
26 Jun 202614.99 EUR-2.0%13.38 EUR6.98 EUR0.4827.51429On
19 Jun 202615.30 EUR-2.9%13.28 EUR6.90 EUR0.5130.12188On
12 Jun 202615.75 EUR3.3%13.17 EUR6.82 EUR0.5137.61559On
5 Jun 202615.24 EUR-0.3%13.07 EUR6.73 EUR0.3734.3813On
29 May 202615.29 EUR1.5%12.96 EUR6.65 EUR0.3134.641.0KOn
22 May 202615.06 EUR2.9%12.78 EUR6.57 EUR-0.1435.454.1KOn
15 May 202614.64 EUR-5.0%12.61 EUR6.49 EUR-0.5638.493.3KOn
8 May 202615.40 EUR30.6%12.45 EUR6.41 EUR-0.8445.201.2KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context