6418 JPX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Japan Cash Machine Co., Ltd. · Industrials · Business Equipment & Supplies

Latest close 1,200 JPY
5.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 15.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.9%, after a 10.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 59/100.

Setup score 61 out of 100
Latest Close 1,200 JPY 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 5.9% latest completed week
4W Return 10.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 33.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 51.9% 27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 15.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.9%, after a 10.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3512-week average 0.18

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.35Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 10.8% over four weeks, 33.0% over 12 weeks, and 28.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.9%
4W10.8%
12W33.0%
26W18.7%
52W28.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.91Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change670.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.00Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change88.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.

1 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.1%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-7.3%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+5.9%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -2.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20261,200 JPY5.9%1,039 JPY1,016 JPY0.91-2.00715.6KOff
31 Jul 20261,133 JPY7.3%1,032 JPY1,015 JPY0.81-6.07734.2KOff
24 Jul 20261,056 JPY1.1%1,028 JPY1,013 JPY0.47-13.27323.0KOff
17 Jul 20261,044 JPY-3.6%1,026 JPY1,013 JPY0.18-14.10398.5KOff
10 Jul 20261,083 JPY7.2%1,024 JPY1,012 JPY-0.16-17.15752.6KOff
3 Jul 20261,010 JPY2.6%1,021 JPY1,012 JPY-0.67-24.56100.9KOff
26 Jun 2026984.0 JPY-0.4%1,021 JPY1,012 JPY-0.93-26.7171.7KOff
19 Jun 2026988.0 JPY1.8%1,022 JPY1,013 JPY-0.98-29.0658.6KOff
12 Jun 2026971.0 JPY2.4%1,022 JPY1,013 JPY-0.91-25.48155.0KOff
5 Jun 2026948.0 JPY-3.0%1,022 JPY1,013 JPY-0.81-28.52108.6KOff
29 May 2026977.0 JPY-0.3%1,023 JPY1,013 JPY-0.79-26.80866.0KOff
22 May 2026980.0 JPY8.6%1,023 JPY1,013 JPY-0.87-23.851.2MOff
15 May 2026902.0 JPY-7.2%1,023 JPY1,014 JPY-0.98-28.311.6MOff
8 May 2026972.0 JPY-0.4%1,026 JPY1,015 JPY-1.02-25.07236.6KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context