- The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
ILT
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Illinois Tool Works Inc. · Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Latest close
255.8 EUR
3.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.3%, after a 8.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
58
out of 100
Latest Close
255.8 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
3.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
8.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
19.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
40.4%
21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.4x
vs 13-week average
- 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 8.3%.
Indicator stack
33/87
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
52/100
21 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.3%, after a 8.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5912-week average 0.40
12-week confirmation
Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.59Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 8.3% over four weeks, 19.9% over 12 weeks, and 18.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.94Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change245.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership5.74Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change77.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength32/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Value13/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Quality83/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Momentum64/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Growth21/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework54/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 23.2x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 4.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 17.1x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 3.4% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 44.1% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 26.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 16.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 27.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 0.9% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -10.5% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -4.8% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 2.2% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 2.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 4.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.
2 positive · 18 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+3.9%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-5.9%Week of 1 May.
Latest week+3.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains0
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses2
Recent vol1.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.6% / -1.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Industrials
4-week rank31 / 100
Group average4.0%
Trend breadth49.0%
Trend49.0%active weekly trend signals
MD59.0%positive activity pressure
RS53.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Specialty Industrial Machinery
4-week rank8 / 36
Group average1.3%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD44.4%positive activity pressure
RS38.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape54/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 54/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis39/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 7/12.
Activity pressure 0.59; 3 reversal markers Factors47/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 21; Small Cap Core rank 89 SVQF54/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 171.5 of 375 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.
Confluence Investment Management LLC Sells 14,125 Shares of Illinois Tool Works Inc. $ITW Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 255.8 EUR | 3.3% | 230.9 EUR | 220.9 EUR | 0.94 | 5.74 | 122 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 247.7 EUR | -0.2% | 229.6 EUR | 220.6 EUR | 0.87 | 5.32 | 765 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 248.1 EUR | 1.6% | 228.3 EUR | 220.3 EUR | 0.69 | 7.86 | 90 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 244.1 EUR | 3.3% | 227.1 EUR | 220.1 EUR | 0.55 | 7.47 | 228 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 236.2 EUR | -1.6% | 225.9 EUR | 220.0 EUR | 0.27 | 3.23 | 454 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 240.1 EUR | 2.8% | 225.3 EUR | 219.8 EUR | -0.13 | 2.13 | 50 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 233.5 EUR | 3.9% | 224.3 EUR | 219.6 EUR | -0.49 | 3.86 | 31 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 224.6 EUR | 2.4% | 223.7 EUR | 219.4 EUR | -0.83 | -1.15 | 1 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 219.4 EUR | 0.6% | 223.0 EUR | 219.3 EUR | -0.88 | -2.03 | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 218.1 EUR | 3.1% | 222.6 EUR | 219.2 EUR | -0.96 | -3.06 | 253 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 211.4 EUR | -1.8% | 222.3 EUR | 219.1 EUR | -0.93 | -7.29 | 379 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 215.2 EUR | 0.9% | 222.2 EUR | 219.0 EUR | -0.85 | -4.88 | 974 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 213.3 EUR | -1.2% | 222.0 EUR | 218.8 EUR | -0.78 | -2.05 | 193 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 215.8 EUR | -0.9% | 221.9 EUR | 218.7 EUR | -0.51 | -2.54 | 375 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.