- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
CMO
NZE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
The Colonial Motor Company Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships
Latest close
6.85 NZD
-3.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 6.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.2%, after a -5.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 47/100.
Setup score
41
out of 100
Latest Close
6.85 NZD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-3.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-5.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-8.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
63.5%
33 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-3.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -5.0%.
Indicator stack
35/56
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 40.03%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
47/100
5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 6.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.2%, after a -5.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1012-week average 0.15
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.10Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -5.0% over four weeks, -8.5% over 12 weeks, and -2.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year33
Trend breadth63.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.09Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change92.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.73Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-49.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment47/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
0 positive · 4 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher8 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+3.7%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-6.8%Week of 29 May.
Latest week-3.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains0
Modest gains8
Flat weeks3
Modest losses13
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.4% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorNZ Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank13 / 15
Group average0.2%
Trend breadth20.0%
Trend20.0%active weekly trend signals
MD46.7%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryNZ Auto & Truck Dealerships
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average-3.5%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape41/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 41/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis10/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.10; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.03%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.03% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment47/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
Ford Motor Stock: Is F Outperforming the Consumer Cyclical Sector? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 6.85 NZD | -3.2% | 7.59 NZD | 7.16 NZD | -0.09 | -13.73 | 18.0K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 7.08 NZD | -1.3% | 7.63 NZD | 7.16 NZD | -0.27 | -10.17 | 2.9K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 7.17 NZD | -1.1% | 7.67 NZD | 7.17 NZD | -0.45 | -9.56 | 10.8K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 7.25 NZD | 0.6% | 7.72 NZD | 7.17 NZD | -0.88 | -8.09 | 15.0K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 7.21 NZD | -0.6% | 7.75 NZD | 7.18 NZD | -1.24 | -9.18 | 5.9K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 7.25 NZD | 3.6% | 7.76 NZD | 7.18 NZD | -1.53 | -7.57 | 5.4K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 7.00 NZD | 0.0% | 7.77 NZD | 7.18 NZD | -1.75 | -9.92 | 1.9K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 7.00 NZD | 3.7% | 7.79 NZD | 7.19 NZD | -1.75 | -9.94 | 7.9K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 6.75 NZD | 0.3% | 7.82 NZD | 7.19 NZD | -1.79 | -12.55 | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 6.73 NZD | -1.0% | 7.86 NZD | 7.20 NZD | -1.79 | -11.34 | 0 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 6.80 NZD | -6.8% | 7.91 NZD | 7.20 NZD | -1.68 | -11.00 | 7.0K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 7.30 NZD | -2.5% | 7.94 NZD | 7.21 NZD | -1.64 | -2.64 | 5.9K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 7.49 NZD | -1.4% | 7.96 NZD | 7.21 NZD | -1.57 | 0.21 | 1.3K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 7.60 NZD | -1.6% | 7.96 NZD | 7.21 NZD | -1.34 | 0.27 | 17.5K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.