What the company does
Synlait Milk Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, processes, and sells dairy and non-dairy products in China, rest of Asia, the Middle East, Africa, New Zealand, Australia, and internationally. It operates through Synlait and Dairyworks segments. The company offers milk powder, milk powder-related products, fresh milk, ultra heat treatment milk and cream, cheese, and butter; skim milk powders; nutritional products for early life and adults comprising consumer-ready powders, base powders, ready-to-drink milk beverages, ingredients, and finished consumer-ready products; drinking yoghurts; specialized ingredients, such as lactoferrin; and anhydrous milk fat for foodservice applications. It sells its …
What the weekly tape is saying
SML closed the latest completed week at 0.41 NZD. The 4-week return is -9.8% and the 12-week return is -14.4%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is 0.12. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 18/100 composite read.
A compressed read of the whole setup
The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.
Scoreboard
16-week signal tape
Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value
Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.
52-week price path
Price map
- Trend Line
- 0.53 NZD
- Vs Trend Line
- -21.7%
- Fair Value
- 0.72 NZD
- Vs Fair Value
- -42.5%
- 52W High
- 0.85 NZD
- 52W Low
- 0.41 NZD
- Drawdown
- -51.2%
- Range Position
- 1.1%
Returns and trend persistence
Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.
Return windows
Trend read
- Active Streak
- 0 weeks
- 52W Active Weeks
- 7
- 52W Active Breadth
- 13.5%
- Sector Scope
- NZ Consumer Defensive
- Sector Rank
- 8 of 14
- Sector Percentile
- 46.2%
Sector and industry pulse
Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.
NZ Consumer Defensive
- Tracked Peers
- 14
- 4W Rank
- 13 of 14
- Avg 1W
- 0.7%
- Avg 4W
- -1.8%
- Trend Breadth
- 42.9%
- Positive MD
- 35.7%
NZ Packaged Foods
- Tracked Peers
- 6
- 4W Rank
- 6 of 6
- Avg 1W
- 2.3%
- Avg 4W
- -1.5%
- Trend Breadth
- 50.0%
- Positive RS
- 50.0%
Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation
Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.
Dynamics path
Signal state
- Market Dynamics
- 0.12
- 4W MD Change
- 140.2%
- Relative Strength
- -31.78
- 4W RS Change
- -27.6%
- Expectation
- Negative
- Probability
- 36.36%
Participation and confirmation
Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.
52-week volume profile
Volume map
- Latest Volume
- 208.5K
- 13W Average
- 417.6K
- 52W Average
- 473.1K
- Vs 13W
- 0.5x
- Vs 52W
- 0.4x
Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape
A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.
26-week return distribution
Risk map
- 13W Volatility
- 5.1%
- 52W Volatility
- 6.4%
- Upside Weeks
- 20
- Downside Weeks
- 27
- Downside Breadth
- 51.9%
- Avg Gain / Loss
- 4.8% / -4.9%
Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points
Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.
Classification
- Exchange
- NZE
- Country
- NZ
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- Industry
- Packaged Foods
- Currency
- NZD
- Market Cap
- 268.4M
Opportunity signals
- Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.
Risk signals
- Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
Watch next
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Recent completed weeks
The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend | Fair Value | MD | RS | Volume | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.41 NZD | 0.0% | 0.53 NZD | 0.72 NZD | 0.12 | -31.78 | 208.5K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.41 NZD | -6.7% | 0.54 NZD | 0.73 NZD | 0.29 | -31.23 | 297.1K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.45 NZD | 4.7% | 0.55 NZD | 0.74 NZD | 0.24 | -27.48 | 238.0K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.42 NZD | -7.6% | 0.56 NZD | 0.75 NZD | -0.06 | -30.08 | 213.0K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.46 NZD | 2.2% | 0.57 NZD | 0.75 NZD | -0.31 | -24.92 | 1.1M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.45 NZD | 5.9% | 0.58 NZD | 0.76 NZD | -0.78 | -28.40 | 524.4K | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.42 NZD | -6.6% | 0.59 NZD | 0.77 NZD | -1.10 | -32.34 | 222.8K | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 0.46 NZD | 5.8% | 0.60 NZD | 0.77 NZD | -1.17 | -27.44 | 152.9K | Off |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 0.43 NZD | 2.4% | 0.61 NZD | 0.78 NZD | -1.17 | -32.29 | 362.4K | Off |
| 10 Apr 2026 | 0.42 NZD | -4.5% | 0.62 NZD | 0.79 NZD | -1.18 | -35.86 | 255.8K | Off |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 0.44 NZD | -9.3% | 0.63 NZD | 0.80 NZD | -1.18 | -32.17 | 716.2K | Off |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 0.48 NZD | 0.0% | 0.64 NZD | 0.81 NZD | -1.22 | -26.17 | 774.7K | Off |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 0.48 NZD | -1.0% | 0.65 NZD | 0.82 NZD | -1.37 | -27.18 | 319.3K | Off |
| 13 Mar 2026 | 0.49 NZD | 1.0% | 0.66 NZD | 0.84 NZD | -1.34 | -28.76 | 151.3K | Off |