- The trend backdrop is active with a 129-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
FCG
NZE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Latest close
4.25 NZD
0.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 0.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
58
out of 100
Latest Close
4.25 NZD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
0.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-2.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 0.0%.
Indicator stack
100/31
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
10 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 0.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7212-week average 0.88
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.72Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 0.0% over four weeks, -2.1% over 12 weeks, and 43.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 129 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak129 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.93Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-28.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.31Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-38.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 10 relevant articles.
2 positive · 5 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.3%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-4.7%Week of 1 May.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains12
Flat weeks3
Modest losses8
Sharp losses1
Recent vol1.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -1.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorNZ Consumer Defensive
4-week rank8 / 14
Group average1.0%
Trend breadth42.9%
Trend42.9%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryNZ Packaged Foods
4-week rank4 / 6
Group average2.8%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape62/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 62/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis71/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.72; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 10 relevant articles.
Fonterra Co-operative Grp Number of Employees 2026 | Employee Count & Headcount Data Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 4.25 NZD | 0.0% | 4.16 NZD | 2.55 NZD | -0.93 | 4.31 | 396.0K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 4.25 NZD | 0.0% | 4.15 NZD | 2.52 NZD | -0.92 | 5.79 | 396.5K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4.25 NZD | 0.5% | 4.13 NZD | 2.50 NZD | -0.94 | 5.84 | 553.0K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4.23 NZD | -0.5% | 4.11 NZD | 2.48 NZD | -0.88 | 6.58 | 519.5K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4.25 NZD | 1.0% | 4.09 NZD | 2.46 NZD | -0.72 | 7.03 | 592.7K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.21 NZD | -2.8% | 4.07 NZD | 2.44 NZD | -0.56 | 7.97 | 270.9K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4.33 NZD | -2.3% | 4.06 NZD | 2.42 NZD | -0.32 | 12.74 | 142.8K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4.43 NZD | 0.2% | 4.03 NZD | 2.40 NZD | -0.08 | 16.12 | 196.9K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4.42 NZD | -0.9% | 4.01 NZD | 2.38 NZD | -0.00 | 17.58 | 130.4K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4.46 NZD | 0.2% | 3.98 NZD | 2.36 NZD | 0.10 | 21.60 | 209.6K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 4.45 NZD | 2.5% | 3.96 NZD | 2.34 NZD | 0.18 | 21.51 | 1.4M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 4.34 NZD | 0.0% | 3.94 NZD | 2.32 NZD | 0.28 | 21.79 | 654.3K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.34 NZD | 0.9% | 3.91 NZD | 2.29 NZD | 0.61 | 23.03 | 857.7K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 4.30 NZD | -3.4% | 3.89 NZD | 2.27 NZD | 1.03 | 21.00 | 1.1M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.