PSG MCE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad, S.A. · Industrials · Security & Protection Services

Latest close 2.96 EUR
-2.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 57.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.1%, after a 5.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 58 out of 100
Latest Close 2.96 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -2.1% latest completed week
4W Return 5.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 9.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 57.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.1%, after a 5.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5512-week average 0.50

12-week confirmation

Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.55Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 5.7% over four weeks, 9.6% over 12 weeks, and 19.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.1%
4W5.7%
12W9.6%
26W7.1%
52W19.1%
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.40Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change348.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.98Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change32.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.

0 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.3%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-6.6%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-2.1%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryES Security & Protection Services
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average5.7%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20262.96 EUR-2.1%2.76 EUR2.04 EUR1.40-5.981.1MOn
31 Jul 20263.02 EUR-6.6%2.75 EUR2.03 EUR1.41-2.261.8MOn
24 Jul 20263.24 EUR11.3%2.73 EUR2.02 EUR1.175.492.0MOn
17 Jul 20262.91 EUR3.9%2.71 EUR2.01 EUR0.72-3.83639.7KOn
10 Jul 20262.80 EUR-0.2%2.70 EUR2.00 EUR0.31-8.85927.2KOn
3 Jul 20262.81 EUR3.7%2.69 EUR1.99 EUR-0.16-11.51162.5KOn
26 Jun 20262.71 EUR0.6%2.68 EUR1.98 EUR-0.61-13.3763.6KOff
19 Jun 20262.69 EUR0.4%2.68 EUR1.97 EUR-0.68-14.0845.7KOff
12 Jun 20262.68 EUR2.7%2.68 EUR1.96 EUR-0.64-12.26213.2KOff
5 Jun 20262.61 EUR-0.9%2.67 EUR1.95 EUR-0.59-13.0495.1KOff
29 May 20262.63 EUR-4.9%2.67 EUR1.94 EUR-0.46-12.651.7MOn
22 May 20262.77 EUR2.6%2.67 EUR1.94 EUR-0.61-6.67713.9KOn
15 May 20262.70 EUR0.6%2.67 EUR1.93 EUR-0.81-7.48641.4KOn
8 May 20262.69 EUR-0.4%2.67 EUR1.92 EUR-0.72-9.70853.9KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context