- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
HFG
VIE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
HelloFresh SE · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Latest close
3.35 EUR
-2.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -23.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.2%, after a -9.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 43/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
11
out of 100
Latest Close
3.35 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-2.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-9.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-20.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.2x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -9.3%.
Indicator stack
0/19
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 41.40%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
43/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -23.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.2%, after a -9.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0312-week average 0.08
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -9.3% over four weeks, -20.9% over 12 weeks, and -64.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.62Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-251.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-50.66Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-1.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment43/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
0 positive · 1 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-64.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.6%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-24.2%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-2.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses9
Recent vol4.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/32Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.8% / -6.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAT Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank- / 100
Group average2.3%
Trend breadth45.0%
Trend45.0%active weekly trend signals
MD62.0%positive activity pressure
RS11.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAT Restaurants
4-week rank5 / 6
Group average-2.6%
Trend breadth16.7%
Trend16.7%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape11/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 11/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis25/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.03; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.40%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.40% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment43/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
HelloFresh Q2 Profit Declines Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 3.35 EUR | -2.2% | 4.39 EUR | 9.57 EUR | -0.62 | -50.66 | 808 | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3.43 EUR | 0.5% | 4.47 EUR | 9.70 EUR | -0.33 | -49.46 | 12.3K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3.41 EUR | -7.6% | 4.56 EUR | 9.84 EUR | -0.03 | -51.09 | 0 | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3.69 EUR | -0.2% | 4.64 EUR | 9.98 EUR | 0.31 | -47.71 | 6.3K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3.70 EUR | -9.0% | 4.70 EUR | 10.10 EUR | 0.41 | -49.77 | 8.3K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.06 EUR | 7.4% | 4.77 EUR | 10.22 EUR | 0.47 | -46.67 | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3.78 EUR | -7.1% | 4.84 EUR | 10.35 EUR | 0.48 | -50.27 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4.07 EUR | -2.6% | 4.92 EUR | 10.48 EUR | 0.54 | -48.44 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4.18 EUR | -0.3% | 4.96 EUR | 10.58 EUR | 0.53 | -45.87 | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4.20 EUR | -4.2% | 5.01 EUR | 10.67 EUR | 0.48 | -45.33 | 0 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 4.38 EUR | 1.6% | 5.06 EUR | 10.76 EUR | 0.44 | -44.73 | 0 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 4.31 EUR | 1.7% | 5.15 EUR | 10.87 EUR | 0.35 | -45.42 | 51 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.24 EUR | 0.9% | 5.26 EUR | 10.98 EUR | 0.18 | -46.58 | 20.2K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 4.20 EUR | -9.0% | 5.35 EUR | 11.10 EUR | 0.15 | -48.42 | 46.2K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.