- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
CHMG
VIE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Latest close
28.60 EUR
-12.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -12.1%, after a -7.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 47/100.
Setup score
35
out of 100
Latest Close
28.60 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-12.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
-7.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
1.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-12.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move -7.7%.
Indicator stack
0/67
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
47/100
19 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -12.1%, after a -7.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2412-week average 0.10
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.24Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -7.7% over four weeks, 1.6% over 12 weeks, and -20.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.05Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-16.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-25.45Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-19.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment47/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
2 positive · 12 neutral · 5 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-24.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-12.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Latest week-12.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses8
Recent vol6.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -4.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAT Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank86 / 100
Group average2.3%
Trend breadth45.0%
Trend45.0%active weekly trend signals
MD62.0%positive activity pressure
RS11.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAT Restaurants
4-week rank4 / 6
Group average-2.6%
Trend breadth16.7%
Trend16.7%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape33/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis25/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.24; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment47/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Q2 Adjusted Earnings Flat, Revenue Rises; Shares Gain After-Hours Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 28.60 EUR | -12.1% | 29.90 EUR | 42.53 EUR | 1.05 | -25.45 | 3.5K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 32.55 EUR | 14.4% | 30.09 EUR | 42.56 EUR | 1.25 | -13.56 | 3.1K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 28.45 EUR | -7.5% | 30.07 EUR | 42.57 EUR | 1.21 | -25.24 | 5.6K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 30.75 EUR | -0.8% | 30.17 EUR | 42.61 EUR | 1.36 | -19.16 | 548 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 31.00 EUR | 0.2% | 30.22 EUR | 42.66 EUR | 1.25 | -21.39 | 7.0K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 30.95 EUR | 5.6% | 30.21 EUR | 42.70 EUR | 0.86 | -23.90 | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 29.30 EUR | 3.4% | 30.15 EUR | 42.74 EUR | 0.26 | -27.60 | 2.2K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 28.35 EUR | 1.6% | 30.17 EUR | 42.80 EUR | -0.23 | -32.48 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 27.90 EUR | 9.0% | 30.14 EUR | 42.86 EUR | -0.51 | -31.95 | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 25.60 EUR | -8.2% | 30.10 EUR | 42.93 EUR | -0.67 | -36.80 | 0 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 27.90 EUR | -0.5% | 30.12 EUR | 43.00 EUR | -0.56 | -33.03 | 0 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 28.05 EUR | -0.4% | 30.11 EUR | 43.07 EUR | -0.54 | -31.84 | 0 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 28.15 EUR | 0.7% | 30.36 EUR | 43.14 EUR | -0.57 | -31.20 | 0 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 27.95 EUR | -4.8% | 30.61 EUR | 43.21 EUR | -0.50 | -33.02 | 0 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.