- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
ALI1
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Almonty Industries Inc. · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Latest close
12.04 EUR
21.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 50.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 21.3%, after a -13.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.
Setup score
38
out of 100
Latest Close
12.04 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
21.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
-13.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-20.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
92.3%
48 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
21.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move -13.4%.
Indicator stack
51/30
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
54/100
35 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 50.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 21.3%, after a -13.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4112-week average 0.74
12-week confirmation
Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.41Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -13.4% over four weeks, -20.7% over 12 weeks, and 247.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year48
Trend breadth92.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.06Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-8.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.20Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-82.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 79%
Model confidence 74%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength19/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Value20/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Quality6/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Momentum99/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Growth79/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 68.3x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -2.4% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 29.3% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -47.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -159.7% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -6.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 12.8% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.0% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -8.8% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -8.8% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 35 relevant articles.
8 positive · 27 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-41.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+34.5%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-17.9%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week+21.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains10
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses10
Recent vol11.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol12.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew11.2% / -7.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Basic Materials
4-week rank44 / 44
Group average3.5%
Trend breadth47.7%
Trend47.7%active weekly trend signals
MD20.5%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Other Industrial Metals & Mining
4-week rank4 / 4
Group average3.7%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS75.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape44/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 44/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis50/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 11/12.
Activity pressure 0.41; No reversal markers Factors32/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 98; Small Cap Core rank 89 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 35 relevant articles.
Almonty Industries: Tungsten Producer's Two-Continent Exit Creates a Tale of Split Fortunes Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 12.04 EUR | 21.3% | 14.11 EUR | 4.30 EUR | -1.06 | 6.20 | 537.5K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 9.92 EUR | -17.9% | 13.97 EUR | 4.23 EUR | -1.03 | -8.83 | 922.8K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 12.10 EUR | 3.4% | 13.88 EUR | 4.17 EUR | -1.07 | 14.77 | 386.5K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 11.70 EUR | -15.8% | 13.72 EUR | 4.10 EUR | -1.04 | 13.95 | 604.8K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 13.89 EUR | -3.0% | 13.58 EUR | 4.03 EUR | -0.97 | 36.08 | 634.0K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 14.32 EUR | -1.6% | 13.30 EUR | 3.94 EUR | -0.98 | 38.69 | 73.1K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 14.55 EUR | -11.8% | 13.03 EUR | 3.85 EUR | -0.93 | 49.93 | 104.4K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 16.50 EUR | 7.8% | 12.74 EUR | 3.76 EUR | -0.76 | 71.31 | 67.9K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 15.29 EUR | 5.4% | 12.35 EUR | 3.66 EUR | -0.68 | 65.50 | 294.2K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 14.51 EUR | -17.1% | 12.04 EUR | 3.57 EUR | -0.55 | 60.26 | 796.4K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 17.51 EUR | 10.0% | 11.74 EUR | 3.48 EUR | -0.32 | 95.49 | 587.3K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 15.92 EUR | 4.8% | 11.36 EUR | 3.37 EUR | -0.08 | 85.19 | 880.8K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 15.19 EUR | -6.6% | 11.04 EUR | 3.27 EUR | 0.28 | 89.29 | 1.0M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 16.26 EUR | -7.6% | 10.76 EUR | 3.18 EUR | 0.77 | 105.78 | 801.1K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.