MNDI LSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Mondi plc · Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products

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Latest close 921.6 GBP
3.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 13.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 61.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.3%, after a 30.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.

Setup score 48 out of 100
Latest Close 921.6 GBP 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 3.3% latest completed week
4W Return 30.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 22.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.3% Latest completed week; four-week move 30.6%. Indicator stack 0/77 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 52/100 30 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 13.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 61.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.3%, after a 30.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0812-week average 0.02

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.08Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 30.6% over four weeks, 22.7% over 12 weeks, and -14.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.3%
4W30.6%
12W22.7%
26W3.7%
52W-14.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.74Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change171.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.54Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change93.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 72%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength41/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 60; rank 1 is best.
Value86/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Quality5/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Momentum5/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Growth7/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework18/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
24.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
7.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
40.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
5.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
3.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-24.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 30 relevant articles.

6 positive · 20 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.3%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-13.7%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+3.3%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses3
Recent vol6.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.2% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryGB Paper & Paper Products
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average23.7%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

MNDI · LSE30.6%CRPR · LSE16.9%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape39/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 39/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis13/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.08; No reversal markers Factors33/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 41 SVQF18/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 212.5 of 260 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 30 relevant articles.

Mondi PLC (MNDI.L) Stock Analysis: Navigating Challenges In The Basic Materials Sector Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026921.6 GBP3.3%810.9 GBP1,196 GBP0.74-1.545.9MOff
31 Jul 2026892.2 GBP22.3%810.7 GBP1,199 GBP0.10-5.1110.2MOff
24 Jul 2026729.4 GBP-3.0%811.6 GBP1,202 GBP-0.65-22.036.9MOff
17 Jul 2026752.0 GBP6.5%817.0 GBP1,207 GBP-0.95-19.704.4MOff
10 Jul 2026705.8 GBP-0.6%821.7 GBP1,211 GBP-1.04-24.804.3MOff
3 Jul 2026710.4 GBP-0.2%827.4 GBP1,216 GBP-1.08-26.65853.6KOff
26 Jun 2026711.6 GBP-1.2%832.8 GBP1,220 GBP-1.06-26.412.0MOff
19 Jun 2026720.6 GBP0.1%838.0 GBP1,224 GBP-1.06-25.5312.0MOff
12 Jun 2026719.6 GBP-3.9%841.8 GBP1,228 GBP-1.17-27.401.8MOff
5 Jun 2026748.8 GBP-0.7%845.8 GBP1,232 GBP-1.11-24.681.3MOff
29 May 2026754.2 GBP2.3%848.1 GBP1,236 GBP-0.94-25.435.5MOff
22 May 2026737.6 GBP-1.8%851.3 GBP1,240 GBP-0.86-28.397.4MOff
15 May 2026751.0 GBP-3.9%855.1 GBP1,244 GBP-0.86-26.094.1MOff
8 May 2026781.4 GBP0.8%857.6 GBP1,249 GBP-0.65-24.336.3MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context