- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
4046
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Osaka Soda Co., Ltd. · Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Latest close
1,851 JPY
4.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.7%, after a 2.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 63/100.
Setup score
35
out of 100
Latest Close
1,851 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
2.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
1.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
51.9%
27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 2.7%.
Indicator stack
29/42
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
63/100
7 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.7%, after a 2.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1412-week average 0.11
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.14Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 2.7% over four weeks, 1.1% over 12 weeks, and 4.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-97.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-20.61Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change28.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment63/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 7 relevant articles.
4 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-26.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.8%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-10.0%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+4.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses8
Recent vol3.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Basic Materials
4-week rank62 / 100
Group average5.2%
Trend breadth48.0%
Trend48.0%active weekly trend signals
MD55.0%positive activity pressure
RS37.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Specialty Chemicals
4-week rank49 / 100
Group average4.2%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS36.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape31/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 31/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis14/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.14; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment63/100Weighted news tone is positive across 7 relevant articles.
Osaka Soda (TSE:4046) Stock Asks Whether Margin Gains Outrun Valuation Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1,851 JPY | 4.7% | 1,956 JPY | 1,793 JPY | 0.00 | -20.61 | 1.7M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1,768 JPY | -0.6% | 1,968 JPY | 1,790 JPY | -0.03 | -23.29 | 2.7M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1,779 JPY | 1.4% | 1,981 JPY | 1,786 JPY | -0.08 | -23.83 | 1.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1,755 JPY | -2.6% | 1,994 JPY | 1,782 JPY | -0.05 | -25.04 | 1.2M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1,802 JPY | -4.0% | 2,007 JPY | 1,777 JPY | 0.04 | -28.66 | 1.7M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1,878 JPY | 0.8% | 2,019 JPY | 1,772 JPY | -0.20 | -27.59 | 303.2K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1,863 JPY | -5.9% | 2,029 JPY | 1,767 JPY | -0.44 | -28.42 | 252.8K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1,979 JPY | 9.8% | 2,039 JPY | 1,762 JPY | -0.57 | -26.63 | 613.2K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1,803 JPY | -1.2% | 2,039 JPY | 1,756 JPY | -0.76 | -28.51 | 447.6K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1,825 JPY | -2.9% | 2,046 JPY | 1,751 JPY | -0.72 | -28.89 | 283.4K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 1,880 JPY | 1.8% | 2,038 JPY | 1,745 JPY | -0.73 | -27.06 | 2.3M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1,846 JPY | 0.8% | 2,030 JPY | 1,738 JPY | -0.86 | -25.50 | 2.2M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1,831 JPY | -1.6% | 2,022 JPY | 1,731 JPY | -0.89 | -24.16 | 3.1M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 1,860 JPY | 0.5% | 2,016 JPY | 1,725 JPY | -0.99 | -24.88 | 649.2K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.