IPOK GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Heidelberger Beteiligungsholding AG · Financial Services · Asset Management

Latest close 136.0 EUR
-4.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -24.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 34.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.2%, after a 0.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 30 out of 100
Latest Close 136.0 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -4.2% latest completed week
4W Return 0.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -30.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 80.8% 42 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 18.99% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -24.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 34.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.2%, after a 0.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2112-week average 0.63

12-week confirmation

Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.21Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.0% over four weeks, -30.3% over 12 weeks, and 13.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.2%
4W0.0%
12W-30.3%
26W-20.5%
52W13.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year42
Trend breadth80.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.32Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change15.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.48Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-40.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 70%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength33/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Value16/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Quality80/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Momentum63/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Growth11/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
23.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
35.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
92.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
72.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
193.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
12.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-72.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
47.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
47.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.

0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-43.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-13.0%Week of 3 Jul.
Latest week-4.2%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains3
Flat weeks3
Modest losses5
Sharp losses9
Recent vol8.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.0% / -6.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026136.0 EUR-4.2%179.2 EUR97.22 EUR-1.32-16.48144Off
31 Jul 2026142.0 EUR21.4%179.6 EUR96.77 EUR-1.41-10.39242Off
24 Jul 2026117.0 EUR-10.7%179.3 EUR96.29 EUR-1.53-24.46219Off
17 Jul 2026131.0 EUR-3.7%179.8 EUR95.98 EUR-1.54-14.46267Off
10 Jul 2026136.0 EUR-2.9%179.7 EUR95.58 EUR-1.56-11.7469Off
3 Jul 2026140.0 EUR-13.0%179.4 EUR95.14 EUR-1.52-11.31156Off
26 Jun 2026161.0 EUR-5.8%179.0 EUR94.67 EUR-1.447.0135Off
19 Jun 2026171.0 EUR-2.3%177.8 EUR94.08 EUR-1.2312.920On
12 Jun 2026175.0 EUR-4.9%175.6 EUR93.42 EUR-0.9117.841On
5 Jun 2026184.0 EUR-8.9%173.4 EUR92.75 EUR-0.7224.4923On
29 May 2026202.0 EUR-3.8%171.0 EUR92.02 EUR-0.4336.82173On
22 May 2026210.0 EUR7.7%167.8 EUR91.18 EUR-0.3245.86162On
15 May 2026195.0 EUR-7.1%164.3 EUR90.28 EUR-0.2243.29360On
8 May 2026210.0 EUR1.9%161.5 EUR89.48 EUR0.1754.56127On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context