- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
ASB
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Austal Limited · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Latest close
3.84 AUD
6.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -19.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 9.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.4%, after a 3.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 42/100.
Setup score
32
out of 100
Latest Close
3.84 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
6.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
3.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-5.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
36.5%
19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
6.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 3.2%.
Indicator stack
20/67
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
42/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -19.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 9.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.4%, after a 3.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0312-week average 0.01
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 3.2% over four weeks, -5.0% over 12 weeks, and -44.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year19
Trend breadth36.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.08Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change200.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-36.30Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change3.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 82%
Model confidence 42%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength44/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Value86/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Quality13/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Momentum4/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Growth99/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 18.1x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 16.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 12.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 0.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 11.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 0.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 24.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 417.3% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -13.3% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -13.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -1.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment42/100
Weighted news tone is negative across 2 relevant articles.
0 positive · 1 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-56.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+29.4%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-17.9%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+6.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses10
Recent vol6.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.5% / -6.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Industrials
4-week rank38 / 100
Group average1.9%
Trend breadth37.0%
Trend37.0%active weekly trend signals
MD52.0%positive activity pressure
RS45.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Aerospace & Defense
4-week rank1 / 5
Group average-4.1%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD40.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape29/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 29/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis12/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.03; No reversal markers Factors36/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 85; Small Cap Core rank 22 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment42/100Weighted news tone is negative across 2 relevant articles.
Austal (ASX: ASB) Reports FY2026 EBIT Loss, Hanwha Offers Up to US$1.20 Billion for Austal USA Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 3.84 AUD | 6.4% | 4.76 AUD | 3.98 AUD | 0.08 | -36.30 | 6.0M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3.61 AUD | -6.7% | 4.91 AUD | 3.97 AUD | 0.02 | -38.88 | 6.6M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3.87 AUD | 13.5% | 5.01 AUD | 3.96 AUD | -0.00 | -33.61 | 11.0M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3.41 AUD | -8.3% | 5.11 AUD | 3.95 AUD | -0.17 | -42.09 | 7.6M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3.72 AUD | -11.2% | 5.22 AUD | 3.94 AUD | -0.08 | -37.44 | 10.7M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.19 AUD | 1.9% | 5.30 AUD | 3.94 AUD | -0.36 | -30.32 | 662.0K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4.11 AUD | -6.2% | 5.38 AUD | 3.93 AUD | -0.57 | -31.43 | 1.1M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4.38 AUD | 6.8% | 5.46 AUD | 3.92 AUD | -0.89 | -27.96 | 2.7M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4.10 AUD | 3.0% | 5.52 AUD | 3.90 AUD | -1.10 | -32.82 | 1.4M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3.98 AUD | -1.0% | 5.61 AUD | 3.89 AUD | -1.16 | -33.94 | 7.3M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 4.02 AUD | 4.7% | 5.69 AUD | 3.88 AUD | -1.23 | -34.48 | 2.5M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 3.84 AUD | -5.0% | 5.78 AUD | 3.87 AUD | -1.22 | -37.21 | 8.9M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.04 AUD | -2.7% | 5.88 AUD | 3.86 AUD | -1.31 | -34.04 | 8.0M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 4.15 AUD | -1.4% | 5.97 AUD | 3.84 AUD | -1.34 | -33.37 | 10.7M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.