AD8 ASX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Audinate Group Limited · Technology · Electronic Components

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Latest close 2.05 AUD
7.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -23.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.9%, after a -12.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100.

Setup score 21 out of 100
Latest Close 2.05 AUD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 7.9% latest completed week
4W Return -12.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.14% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 7.9% Latest completed week; four-week move -12.0%. Indicator stack 0/52 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 41.14% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 49/100 27 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -23.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.9%, after a -12.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0412-week average 0.02

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -12.0% over four weeks, -4.2% over 12 weeks, and -68.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W7.9%
4W-12.0%
12W-4.2%
26W-49.3%
52W-68.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.28Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-40.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-45.44Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-11.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2024 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 24%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength76/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Value94/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Quality87/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Momentum1/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Growth86/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework45/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
16.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
5.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
74.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
9.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
11.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
31.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-10.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-39.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-39.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 27 relevant articles.

3 positive · 21 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-71.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.2%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-20.2%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+7.9%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses13
Recent vol8.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/34Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.5% / -6.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryAU Electronic Components
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average-12.0%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

AD8 · ASX-12.0%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape21/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 21/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis21/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.14%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.14% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors66/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 96; Small Cap Core rank 23 SVQF45/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 142.0 of 257 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 27 relevant articles.

Is Audinate (ASX:AD8) Facing a Sector Reset? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20262.05 AUD7.9%2.68 AUD9.19 AUD0.28-45.441.5MOff
31 Jul 20261.90 AUD4.1%2.75 AUD9.24 AUD0.24-49.071.3MOff
24 Jul 20261.82 AUD-1.9%2.83 AUD9.29 AUD0.31-51.091.3MOff
17 Jul 20261.86 AUD-20.2%2.91 AUD9.33 AUD0.43-51.432.2MOff
10 Jul 20262.33 AUD-0.4%2.99 AUD9.38 AUD0.46-40.70741.1KOff
3 Jul 20262.34 AUD4.0%3.06 AUD9.42 AUD0.26-41.95261.5KOff
26 Jun 20262.25 AUD0.9%3.13 AUD9.46 AUD0.15-44.90325.3KOff
19 Jun 20262.23 AUD15.2%3.20 AUD9.51 AUD-0.01-47.121.8MOff
12 Jun 20261.94 AUD-7.4%3.26 AUD9.55 AUD-0.25-55.06390.2KOff
5 Jun 20262.09 AUD-3.2%3.33 AUD9.61 AUD-0.44-51.661.7MOff
29 May 20262.16 AUD-2.3%3.40 AUD9.65 AUD-0.70-51.75221.3KOff
22 May 20262.21 AUD3.3%3.49 AUD9.70 AUD-0.85-51.481.8MOff
15 May 20262.14 AUD-9.7%3.59 AUD9.74 AUD-0.94-53.941.5MOff
8 May 20262.37 AUD-4.0%3.73 AUD9.79 AUD-0.86-50.721.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context