Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
CURRENCIES ยท Currency ยท United States
CHF/JPY
CurrenciesForeign Exchange
Last updated
21 Aug 2026
Exchange
Currencies ยท CURRENCIES
Sector
Currencies
Industry
Foreign Exchange
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
Not available
Fair value reference
180.28
Next-week expectancy
Positive ยท 55.62%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, CHF/JPY fell 2.12%, moving from 202.67 to 198.38. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 6 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 0.93 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -1.00 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.62% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
198.38
12-Week Change
-2.12%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.62%
Signal Weeks
6 of 12
Weekly Price
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Chart Panels
Choose up to 5 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationDeclining structure with constructive close
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range. Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Full context ยท Orderly and confirmed
Current structureDeclining structure
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range.
Trend relationshipBelow a falling trend
Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Support and resistanceSupport 197.65 ยท Resistance 200.33
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
The positive weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceActivity proxyTypical activity proxyPublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move+1.32%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterConstructive close
Price advanced and finished in the upper part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedUpper part of the range
The close finished at 79% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityOrderly and confirmed
Recent swings and the longer trend relationship agree with comparatively steady follow-through.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is below a falling trend; participation is strong positive participation, and path quality is orderly and confirmed.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history95% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-2.4%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+81.5%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical2.0ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
2 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
7 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
16 weeks ago
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
28 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateBelow the trend range
52-week position
72.0%
Low to high
Accepted price
201.04
Latest versus accepted: -1.32%
Fitted direction
Rising
0.14% per week
Range pressure
34/100
Lower pressure
Range condition
Expanding
1.93ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support175.57
From price
-11.5%
Evidence
74/100
Touches
4
Support181.87
From price
-8.3%
Evidence
54/100
Touches
2
Support195.93
From price
-1.2%
Evidence
40/100
Touches
2
Current pivot198.42
From price
0.0%
Evidence
85/100
Touches
6
Resistance201.04
From price
1.3%
Evidence
100/100
Touches
5
Resistance204.09
From price
2.9%
Evidence
70/100
Touches
5
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionBelow the trend range
Price is at 72.0% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionRising
The fitted centre line is moving +0.14% per week.
Range pressureLower pressure
The current pressure reading is 34/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level195.93
Support is 1.2% from the latest close with 40/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money support is weak
The current completed-week evidence is not providing dependable confirmation for price.
Momentum 0.53 ยท Weakening
Trend qualityWeak alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 6 completed weeks; visible confirmation is weak alignment.
Momentum pathBalanced ยท Weakening
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsWarning
A demand warning appeared this week; watch whether support stabilises or weakens further.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
There is limited positive confirmation; the chart should be read cautiously until support improves.
What would improve it
A turn higher in the momentum path, followed by steadier trend confirmation, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
A demand warning appeared this week; watch whether support stabilises or weakens further.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
Latest week
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
1 week ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
2 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
3 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
4 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readPositive pressure remains established, but is cooling
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position. Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
+10.04% ยท Positive ยท Cooling
Market positionPositive
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position.
Pressure directionCooling
Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
Trend qualityPersistent
Directional progress remains visible despite some interruption.
Risks and warningsNormal
No elevated completed-week pressure warning is active.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
Price remains in positive market-perception territory.
What would improve it
Renewed upward pressure without further loss of path quality would restore confidence.
What could weaken it
A turn lower in the pressure path or a loss of balance would weaken the current interpretation.
What to watch next
The latest path is cooling with persistent trend quality. Comparable history is constructive follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionLower 41% of history
The latest reading is weaker than 59% of completed observations.
State persistence318 completed weeks
The current positive state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyConstructive follow-through
Across 153 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 64% of the time; the typical move was +0.7%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
2 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
3 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
10 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
15 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
22 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
24 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlControl is contested
Price is below the core VWAP, which is falling. 78% of recent weighted activity has been accepted below it.
45/100 pressure
ControlControl is contested
Pressure 45/100 and -13.9 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack2 of 6 below price
3 references converge near 199.02: 13-week VWAP, High-activity anchor, Year VWAP.
Acceptance78% below
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Core direction-0.1% / week
Four-week direction; change in pace -0.7 pts.
Stretch0.8 normal ranges below
Price is -0.9% from the core VWAP.
Persistence6 completed weeks
Price has remained below the core VWAP.
Price, VWAP structure and control transfers
Where control changed
156 completed weeks ยท Reported weekly volume
Weekly close13-week VWAP26-week VWAP52-week VWAPHigh-activity anchorNormal VWAP rangePositive transferNegative transfer
Seller control50 ยท contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Control is contested
Control is contested
The current position, VWAP direction and completed acceptance evidence broadly agree.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
3 references converge near 199.02: 13-week VWAP, High-activity anchor, Year VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation198.38
A completed close above 13-week VWAP with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area198.38
13-week VWAP at 198.38, 0.0% above the latest close.
Weakening level196.38
A completed close below 52-week VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
13-week VWAP198.38
+0.00% from close
High-activity anchor198.77
+0.20% from close
Year VWAP199.92
+0.78% from close
26-week VWAP200.16
+0.90% from close
52-week VWAP196.38
-1.01% from close
Swing low195.95
-1.23% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 51%Above price 49%
15%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท DX-Y.NYBBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap -6.4 points.
Control is contested ยท 52/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim75% favourable
Events
4
Median 4w
-1.27%
Median 13w
+0.14%
Typical best
+1.93%
Typical worst
-2.43%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss25% favourable
Events
4
Median 4w
-0.29%
Median 13w
+2.61%
Typical best
+2.83%
Typical worst
-2.51%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states19 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
68%
Median 4w
+0.91%
Positive after 13w
84%
Median 13w
+2.96%
Best / worst 13w
+7.1% / -2.7%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Seller pressure established
The completed control reading moved into negative territory.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support is mixed and losing ground
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.50 ยท Mixed
Current stateMixed ยท 0.50
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionWeakening
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceNew
2 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.50 ยท Mixed
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a positive historical bias
Across 28 comparable completed observations, 75.0% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +2.3%.
Comparable observations
28
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
75.0%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+2.3%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
-2.0 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
198.38
12-Week Change
-2.12%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.62%
Signal Weeks
6 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Below
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
0.93
Market Dynamics
-1.00
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, CHF/JPY fell 2.12%, moving from 202.67 to 198.38. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 6 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 0.93 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -1.00 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.62% based on similar historical setup states.
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