- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.00% based on similar historical setup states.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
TSLA
MEX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers
Latest close
5,603 MXN
3.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -18.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 11.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.5%, after a -21.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.
Setup score
28
out of 100
Latest Close
5,603 MXN
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
3.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
-21.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-23.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
46.2%
24 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move -21.7%.
Indicator stack
25/0
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.00%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
55/100
42 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -18.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 11.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.5%, after a -21.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2312-week average 0.26
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.23Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -21.7% over four weeks, -23.9% over 12 weeks, and -8.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year24
Trend breadth46.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.58Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-968.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-23.91Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-615.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.
18 positive · 17 neutral · 9 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-37.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.2%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-18.6%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week+3.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses6
Recent vol6.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.5% / -4.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorMX Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank94 / 97
Group average-0.1%
Trend breadth28.9%
Trend28.9%active weekly trend signals
MD59.8%positive activity pressure
RS32.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryMX Auto Manufacturers
4-week rank12 / 12
Group average0.9%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD58.3%positive activity pressure
RS16.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape30/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis25/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.23; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.00%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.00% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.
Elon Musk's Tesla Weighs $10.1 Billion Solar Plant, Chamath Palihapitiya Calls It a Bet on Nuclear: Here's Why Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 5,603 MXN | 3.5% | 6,853 MXN | 5,651 MXN | -0.58 | -23.91 | 31.2K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 5,412 MXN | -0.6% | 6,933 MXN | 5,642 MXN | -0.23 | -26.78 | 50.4K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5,442 MXN | -18.6% | 7,014 MXN | 5,635 MXN | -0.03 | -26.01 | 27.2K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 6,689 MXN | -6.5% | 7,116 MXN | 5,628 MXN | 0.12 | -9.71 | 12.0K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 7,158 MXN | 4.5% | 7,183 MXN | 5,614 MXN | 0.07 | -3.34 | 15.5K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 6,850 MXN | 2.9% | 7,214 MXN | 5,598 MXN | -0.04 | -8.21 | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 6,658 MXN | -3.1% | 7,261 MXN | 5,584 MXN | -0.03 | -10.98 | 1.1K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 6,870 MXN | -1.3% | 7,301 MXN | 5,570 MXN | 0.13 | -8.91 | 35 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 6,964 MXN | 1.4% | 7,314 MXN | 5,554 MXN | 0.35 | -8.13 | 2.2K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 6,867 MXN | -9.0% | 7,329 MXN | 5,538 MXN | 0.47 | -7.00 | 2.8K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 7,545 MXN | 2.6% | 7,365 MXN | 5,521 MXN | 0.58 | -1.35 | 11.7K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 7,352 MXN | -0.1% | 7,394 MXN | 5,497 MXN | 0.22 | -3.63 | 27.3K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 7,362 MXN | 0.8% | 7,415 MXN | 5,472 MXN | -0.16 | -3.06 | 16.7K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 7,307 MXN | 9.7% | 7,438 MXN | 5,445 MXN | -0.38 | -6.52 | 25.2K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.