Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
CURRENCIES ยท Currency ยท United States
USD/TRY
CurrenciesForeign Exchange
Last updated
21 Aug 2026
Exchange
Currencies ยท CURRENCIES
Sector
Currencies
Industry
Foreign Exchange
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
Not available
Fair value reference
37.27
Next-week expectancy
Positive ยท 89.28%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, USD/TRY rose 4.29%, moving from 46.06 to 48.04. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 9.08 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 2.89 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 89.28% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
48.04
12-Week Change
4.29%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 89.28%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
Weekly Price
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Chart Panels
Choose up to 5 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationFresh upside break with constructive close
The latest close finished above the recent completed price structure. Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Full context ยท Orderly and confirmed
Current structureFresh upside break
The latest close finished above the recent completed price structure.
Trend relationshipAbove a rising trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Support and resistanceSupport 42.66 ยท Resistance 47.88
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
The positive weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceActivity proxyTypical activity proxyPublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move+0.34%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterConstructive close
Price advanced and finished in the upper part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedNear the weekly high
The close finished at 93% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityOrderly and confirmed
Recent swings and the longer trend relationship agree with comparatively steady follow-through.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
The latest close finished above the recent completed price structure.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above a rising trend; participation is strong positive participation, and path quality is orderly and confirmed.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history100% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high+0.0%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+720.5%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical0.8ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
Latest week
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
4 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateAbove the trend range
52-week position
99.7%
Low to high
Accepted price
38.26
Latest versus accepted: 25.57%
Fitted direction
Rising
0.27% per week
Range pressure
94/100
Upper pressure
Range condition
Normal
1.23ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support38.26
From price
-20.4%
Evidence
96/100
Touches
4
Support38.84
From price
-19.2%
Evidence
80/100
Touches
3
Support43.67
From price
-9.1%
Evidence
47/100
Touches
1
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionAbove the trend range
Price is at 99.7% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionRising
The fitted centre line is moving +0.27% per week.
Range pressureUpper pressure
The current pressure reading is 94/100; 50 is balanced.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money evidence is mixed
Some visible evidence is supportive, but the combined picture does not yet justify a strong conclusion.
Momentum 0.77 ยท Holding steady
Trend qualityStrong alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 277 completed weeks; visible confirmation is strong alignment.
Momentum pathStrong ยท Holding steady
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsWarning
A demand warning appeared this week; watch whether support stabilises or weakens further.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
A demand warning appeared this week; watch whether support stabilises or weakens further.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
Latest week
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
1 week ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
2 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
3 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
4 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readNegative pressure is historically weak and holding steady
Negative pressure is elevated relative to the completed history. The latest completed readings are broadly stable.
+28.92% ยท Historically weak ยท Holding steady
Market positionHistorically weak
Negative pressure is elevated relative to the completed history.
Pressure directionHolding steady
The latest completed readings are broadly stable.
Trend qualityRange-bound
Recent pressure has moved without establishing durable directional progress.
Risks and warningsNormal
No elevated completed-week pressure warning is active.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
There is limited positive pressure; the reading needs improvement before it offers dependable support.
What would improve it
A sustained recovery toward balance, followed by positive pressure, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
A turn lower in the pressure path or a loss of balance would weaken the current interpretation.
What to watch next
The latest path is holding steady with range-bound trend quality. Comparable history is limited record.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionLower 12% of history
The latest reading is weaker than 88% of completed observations.
State persistence0 completed weeks
The current historically weak state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyLimited record
There are not yet enough comparable completed observations for a dependable historical summary.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
73 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
126 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
135 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
148 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
151 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
152 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlBuyers firmly in control
Price is above the core VWAP, which is rising. 100% of recent weighted activity has been accepted above it.
82/100 pressure
ControlBuyers firmly in control
Pressure 82/100 and +0.3 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack6 of 6 below price
2 references converge near 45.36: High-activity anchor, Swing low.
Acceptance100% above
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Core direction+0.6% / week
Four-week direction; change in pace +1.3 pts.
Stretch9.1 normal ranges above
Price is +5.1% from the core VWAP.
Persistence131 completed weeks
Price has remained above the core VWAP.
Price, VWAP structure and control transfers
Where control changed
156 completed weeks ยท Reported weekly volume
Weekly close13-week VWAP26-week VWAP52-week VWAPHigh-activity anchorNormal VWAP rangePositive transferNegative transfer
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 ยท contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Buyer control, but extended
Buyer control, but extended
The VWAP structure is constructive, but price is stretched far enough above the core level to reduce early-entry quality.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
2 references converge near 45.36: High-activity anchor, Swing low.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
ConfirmationPressure above 60
Pressure holding above 60 while the VWAP stack rises would strengthen the existing buyer-control evidence.
Decision area47.13
13-week VWAP at 47.13, 1.9% below the latest close.
Weakening level47.13
A completed close below 13-week VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
13-week VWAP47.13
-1.90% from close
26-week VWAP45.72
-4.83% from close
High-activity anchor45.36
-5.59% from close
Swing low45.36
-5.59% from close
Year VWAP45.01
-6.30% from close
52-week VWAP43.94
-8.54% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 100%Above price 0%
3%near price
Most recent weighted activity is below price, leaving a larger estimated cushion beneath the market.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท DX-Y.NYBStronger control than reference
Stronger control than reference; control-score gap +30.4 points.
Control is contested ยท 52/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaimDeveloping evidence
There are not yet enough completed events in the visible history.
Weekly lossDeveloping evidence
There are not yet enough completed events in the visible history.
Comparable control states101 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
96%
Median 4w
+1.17%
Positive after 13w
100%
Median 13w
+4.04%
Best / worst 13w
+8.0% / +0.9%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
No completed control transfer appears in the visible history.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains firmly established
Price strength is accompanied by a supportive SMI state. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
1.00 ยท Strong
Current stateStrong ยท 1.00
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionHolding steady
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceEstablished
109 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipConfirming price strength
Price strength is accompanied by a supportive SMI state.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 1.00 ยท Strong
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a positive historical bias
Across 188 comparable completed observations, 98.4% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +4.9%.
Comparable observations
188
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
98.4%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+4.9%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
+4.5 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
48.04
12-Week Change
4.29%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 89.28%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
9.08
Market Dynamics
2.89
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, USD/TRY rose 4.29%, moving from 46.06 to 48.04. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 9.08 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 2.89 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 89.28% based on similar historical setup states.
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