2945 TAI Week ended 14 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Simple Mart Retail Co., Ltd. · Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 40.25 TWD
-3.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 55.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.5%, after a 0.4% four-week move.

Setup score 49 out of 100
Latest Close 40.25 TWD 14 Aug 2026
1W Return -3.5% latest completed week
4W Return 0.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 55.8% 29 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 29-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.08% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.5% Latest completed week; four-week move 0.4%. Indicator stack 76/44 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 44.08% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 55.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.5%, after a 0.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8812-week average 0.77

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.88Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.4% over four weeks, 1.9% over 12 weeks, and 9.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 29 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.5%
4W0.4%
12W1.9%
26W-0.8%
52W9.4%
Active trend streak29 weeks
Active weeks in one year29
Trend breadth55.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.05Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-88.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-25.38Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-8.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment-

No current sentiment snapshot is stored.

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+3.0%Week of 20 Mar.
Worst week-4.6%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-3.5%Week of 14 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains0
Modest gains15
Flat weeks1
Modest losses9
Sharp losses1
Recent vol1.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.7% / -1.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryTW Grocery Stores
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average-1.3%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

7756 · TWO4.0%2945 · TAI0.4%2912 · TAI-8.3%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape49/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 49/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis54/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.88; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.08%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.08% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100

No sentiment snapshot is stored yet.

 Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
14 Aug 202640.25 TWD-3.5%40.15 TWD38.30 TWD0.05-25.38156.3KOn
7 Aug 202641.70 TWD0.7%40.01 TWD38.28 TWD-0.01-20.7741.0KOn
31 Jul 202641.40 TWD0.5%39.84 TWD38.25 TWD-0.01-20.0951.0KOn
24 Jul 202641.20 TWD2.7%39.68 TWD38.22 TWD0.23-22.2059.2KOn
17 Jul 202640.10 TWD-2.9%39.53 TWD38.19 TWD0.45-23.3263.0KOn
10 Jul 202641.30 TWD-1.4%39.42 TWD38.17 TWD0.79-26.520On
3 Jul 202641.90 TWD1.0%39.26 TWD38.15 TWD0.83-28.54167.0KOn
26 Jun 202641.48 TWD0.2%39.08 TWD38.12 TWD0.58-26.58139.0KOn
19 Jun 202641.38 TWD0.9%38.92 TWD38.10 TWD0.18-30.49142.0KOn
12 Jun 202641.00 TWD1.2%38.76 TWD38.07 TWD-0.19-28.36129.4KOn
5 Jun 202640.52 TWD2.4%38.62 TWD38.04 TWD-0.50-31.38169.0KOn
29 May 202639.55 TWD0.1%38.49 TWD38.03 TWD-0.56-33.2944.1KOn
22 May 202639.50 TWD1.1%38.39 TWD38.02 TWD-0.41-30.29107.6KOn
15 May 202639.07 TWD-2.3%38.27 TWD38.00 TWD-0.19-29.96106.0KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context