- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
LUG
TOR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Lundin Gold Inc. · Basic Materials · Gold
Latest close
92.03 CAD
17.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 47.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 17.3%, after a 17.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.
Setup score
47
out of 100
Latest Close
92.03 CAD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
17.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
17.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
14.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
67.3%
35 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
17.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 17.6%.
Indicator stack
37/48
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
55/100
29 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 47.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 17.3%, after a 17.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1012-week average 0.20
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.10Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 17.6% over four weeks, 14.4% over 12 weeks, and 30.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year35
Trend breadth67.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.41Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change65.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-10.28Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change51.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 88%
Model confidence 82%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength33/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Value16/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Quality99/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Momentum35/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Growth96/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 25.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 11.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 15.9x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 5.5% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 70.5% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 63.9% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 62.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 49.4% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 85.0% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 54.4% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 5.7% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.1% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 5.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 29 relevant articles.
8 positive · 21 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-23.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.9%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-13.5%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+17.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses8
Recent vol7.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.2% / -6.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Basic Materials
4-week rank35 / 100
Group average13.1%
Trend breadth19.0%
Trend19.0%active weekly trend signals
MD17.0%positive activity pressure
RS51.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Gold
4-week rank27 / 66
Group average14.3%
Trend breadth9.1%
Trend9.1%active weekly trend signals
MD7.6%positive activity pressure
RS37.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape39/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 39/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis10/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.10; No reversal markers Factors46/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 72; Small Cap Core rank 85 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 29 relevant articles.
Lundin Gold Inc. Revenue Breakdown – TSX:LUG Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 92.03 CAD | 17.3% | 91.15 CAD | 48.53 CAD | -0.41 | -10.28 | 3.4M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 78.49 CAD | -1.1% | 91.64 CAD | 48.03 CAD | -0.94 | -20.98 | 3.0M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 79.38 CAD | 3.3% | 92.44 CAD | 47.62 CAD | -1.10 | -20.36 | 2.4M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 76.82 CAD | -1.8% | 93.41 CAD | 47.20 CAD | -1.15 | -22.63 | 2.5M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 78.23 CAD | -6.2% | 94.32 CAD | 46.81 CAD | -1.18 | -21.26 | 3.0M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 83.39 CAD | 8.2% | 95.11 CAD | 46.40 CAD | -1.30 | -15.99 | 169.4K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 77.05 CAD | -1.8% | 95.63 CAD | 45.95 CAD | -1.44 | -21.80 | 550.8K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 78.49 CAD | 2.2% | 96.62 CAD | 45.54 CAD | -1.33 | -20.35 | 877.1K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 76.81 CAD | 0.6% | 97.26 CAD | 45.12 CAD | -1.32 | -22.10 | 861.2K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 76.32 CAD | -10.6% | 98.14 CAD | 44.71 CAD | -1.21 | -21.57 | 644.2K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 85.37 CAD | 8.0% | 98.66 CAD | 44.31 CAD | -1.06 | -13.29 | 4.4M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 79.06 CAD | -1.7% | 98.70 CAD | 43.85 CAD | -1.21 | -18.89 | 2.9M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 80.46 CAD | -9.6% | 98.95 CAD | 43.43 CAD | -1.22 | -15.83 | 2.8M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 89.02 CAD | 6.3% | 99.50 CAD | 43.01 CAD | -1.05 | -7.25 | 3.3M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.