- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
HOLM-B
STO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Holmen AB (publ) · Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products
Latest close
329.0 SEK
1.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 41.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a 8.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
38
out of 100
Latest Close
329.0 SEK
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
1.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
8.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
7.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.44% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 8.5%.
Indicator stack
0/68
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.44%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 41.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a 8.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0612-week average 0.02
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 8.5% over four weeks, 7.5% over 12 weeks, and -11.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.38Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change141.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.44Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change31.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.9%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-5.1%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+1.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains10
Flat weeks1
Modest losses11
Sharp losses3
Recent vol1.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.1% / -2.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorSE Basic Materials
4-week rank18 / 47
Group average6.7%
Trend breadth31.9%
Trend31.9%active weekly trend signals
MD55.3%positive activity pressure
RS27.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustrySE Paper & Paper Products
4-week rank6 / 7
Group average11.4%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape30/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis11/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.44%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.44% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
Why Holmen's (STO:HOLM B) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 329.0 SEK | 1.9% | 323.8 SEK | 370.4 SEK | 0.38 | -12.44 | 856.1K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 323.0 SEK | 3.9% | 324.2 SEK | 370.5 SEK | -0.18 | -12.95 | 768.1K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 310.8 SEK | 0.0% | 324.9 SEK | 370.8 SEK | -0.66 | -15.57 | 743.8K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 310.8 SEK | 2.5% | 325.8 SEK | 371.2 SEK | -0.84 | -14.81 | 886.8K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 303.2 SEK | -0.4% | 326.7 SEK | 371.5 SEK | -0.92 | -18.25 | 578.4K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 304.4 SEK | -0.1% | 327.7 SEK | 371.9 SEK | -0.90 | -20.32 | 134.9K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 304.6 SEK | -1.8% | 328.8 SEK | 372.3 SEK | -0.91 | -18.60 | 258.8K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 310.2 SEK | 0.4% | 329.9 SEK | 372.6 SEK | -0.90 | -18.43 | 1.1M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 309.0 SEK | -1.9% | 330.7 SEK | 372.9 SEK | -0.90 | -17.78 | 187.1K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 315.0 SEK | 2.5% | 331.8 SEK | 373.3 SEK | -0.95 | -16.92 | 212.1K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 307.2 SEK | -1.0% | 332.8 SEK | 373.7 SEK | -0.91 | -20.16 | 7.4M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 310.4 SEK | 1.4% | 334.2 SEK | 374.3 SEK | -0.92 | -20.24 | 3.2M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 306.0 SEK | -2.4% | 335.3 SEK | 374.8 SEK | -0.96 | -19.27 | 740.3K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 313.4 SEK | -1.3% | 336.5 SEK | 375.2 SEK | -0.71 | -19.03 | 957.2K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.