- The trend backdrop is active with a 5-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
4441
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Tobila Systems Inc. · Technology · Communication Equipment
Latest close
1,535 JPY
-8.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 79.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.6%, after a 6.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
67
out of 100
Latest Close
1,535 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-8.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
21.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
71.2%
37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- 6 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- The latest week was a sharp negative move.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-8.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.4%.
Indicator stack
56/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.40%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
3 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 79.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.6%, after a 6.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5712-week average 0.58
12-week confirmation
Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.57Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers66 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 6 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.4% over four weeks, 21.6% over 12 weeks, and 34.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 5 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak5 weeks
Active weeks in one year37
Trend breadth71.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.06Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change428.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership2.30Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change126.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
0 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.0%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-8.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Latest week-8.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol6.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.8% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Technology
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-2.8%
Trend breadth57.0%
Trend57.0%active weekly trend signals
MD53.0%positive activity pressure
RS44.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Communication Equipment
4-week rank3 / 21
Group average-2.1%
Trend breadth28.6%
Trend28.6%active weekly trend signals
MD38.1%positive activity pressure
RS14.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape65/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 65/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis36/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 4/12.
Activity pressure 0.57; 6 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.40%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.40% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
Tobila Systems, Inc. Revenue Breakdown – TSE:4441 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1,535 JPY | -8.6% | 1,358 JPY | 967.8 JPY | 1.06 | 2.30 | 96.3K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1,680 JPY | 2.1% | 1,350 JPY | 963.5 JPY | 0.94 | 13.76 | 164.3K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1,646 JPY | 9.4% | 1,337 JPY | 958.2 JPY | 0.54 | 10.95 | 131.3K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1,504 JPY | 4.2% | 1,325 JPY | 953.0 JPY | 0.06 | 2.08 | 104.4K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1,443 JPY | 1.6% | 1,316 JPY | 948.9 JPY | -0.32 | -8.55 | 74.3K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1,420 JPY | 6.8% | 1,307 JPY | 945.1 JPY | -0.70 | -11.86 | 6.9K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1,330 JPY | -1.0% | 1,294 JPY | 941.6 JPY | -1.01 | -17.34 | 12.7K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1,344 JPY | 6.3% | 1,284 JPY | 939.0 JPY | -1.08 | -19.05 | 7.5K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1,264 JPY | 13.8% | 1,275 JPY | 936.5 JPY | -1.19 | -18.38 | 24.9K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1,111 JPY | -6.6% | 1,265 JPY | 934.6 JPY | -1.17 | -29.25 | 23.7K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 1,190 JPY | -6.2% | 1,259 JPY | 933.3 JPY | -1.09 | -24.41 | 160.0K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1,268 JPY | 0.5% | 1,250 JPY | 931.8 JPY | -1.05 | -16.06 | 46.2K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 1,262 JPY | -1.7% | 1,240 JPY | 929.4 JPY | -0.76 | -14.12 | 55.9K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 1,284 JPY | -1.7% | 1,229 JPY | 927.2 JPY | -0.39 | -14.67 | 39.4K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.