ARM NASDAQ Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares · Technology · Semiconductors

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Latest close 282.6 USD
17.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 30.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 51.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 17.9%, after a -12.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 41/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 49 out of 100
Latest Close 282.6 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 17.9% latest completed week
4W Return -12.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 35.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 57.7% 30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 15-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 17.9% Latest completed week; four-week move -12.6%. Indicator stack 77/24 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 41/100 conviction; expected move 3.5%. News sentiment 56/100 42 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 30.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 51.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 17.9%, after a -12.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8312-week average 0.87

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.83Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -12.6% over four weeks, 35.1% over 12 weeks, and 104.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 15 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W17.9%
4W-12.6%
12W35.1%
26W128.4%
52W104.0%
Active trend streak15 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.57Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-191.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership37.72Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-39.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 97%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength45/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
Value1/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Quality96/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Momentum90/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Growth96/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
289.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
58.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
217.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
0.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
95.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
21.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
52.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
15.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
25.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
49.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
96.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

ARM shows mixed options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.93, expected move of 3.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction41/100
Expected move3.5%
Put/call volume0.93
Pressure1
Speculation43
Volatility70
Trend agreement93
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

15 positive · 20 neutral · 7 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move3.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-37.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility17.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+46.5%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-23.9%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+17.9%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses6
Recent vol17.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol12.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.4% / -6.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape52/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 52/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis79/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.83; 2 reversal markers Factors57/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 69 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options60/100

ARM shows mixed options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.93, expected move of 3.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 3.5% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

Arm Holdings plc (ARM) Options Chain Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

 Research flow5 items

2 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026282.6 USD17.9%217.1 USD141.9 USD-0.5737.7228.6MOn
31 Jul 2026239.7 USD-7.8%211.5 USD140.9 USD-0.3524.0240.4MOn
24 Jul 2026260.0 USD-2.7%207.3 USD140.3 USD-0.1136.2019.6MOn
17 Jul 2026267.2 USD-17.4%202.3 USD139.5 USD0.1838.5937.5MOn
10 Jul 2026323.4 USD2.6%197.2 USD138.6 USD0.6261.9428.6MOn
3 Jul 2026315.3 USD-5.7%190.8 USD137.3 USD0.9162.8027.3MOn
26 Jun 2026334.3 USD-23.9%185.0 USD136.1 USD1.2476.1245.3MOn
19 Jun 2026439.5 USD15.4%178.4 USD134.8 USD1.44123.8572.4MOn
12 Jun 2026380.8 USD11.0%168.1 USD132.6 USD1.44103.8455.9MOn
5 Jun 2026342.9 USD-2.9%160.1 USD130.9 USD1.4391.6473.9MOn
29 May 2026353.3 USD15.3%153.7 USD129.4 USD1.3991.9545.1MOn
22 May 2026306.5 USD46.5%147.6 USD127.8 USD1.4074.5573.3MOn
15 May 2026209.2 USD-1.9%143.1 USD126.5 USD1.4022.2645.7MOn
8 May 2026213.3 USD1.0%141.6 USD126.0 USD1.3624.5975.0MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context